Part of: Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
This prediction market asks whether Loranne Ausley will become the next mayor of Tallahassee, Florida, after the 2026 mayoral election. The election is scheduled for August 18, 2026, with a runoff on November 3, 2026 if no candidate wins a majority; PolySpotter is tracking $1,077 in smart money activity and 1 signal so far.
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,077.
Categories: USA Election, Florida, Politics, Elections, Tallahassee, Mayoral Elections, Rewards 50, 4.5, 20, US Election
Notable Trades
Profitable quiet-market bettor
A profitable wallet added a $1.1k No bet in a thin local-election market, and the price has already moved strongly in that direction.
- This bettor is up $48k lifetime despite a low hit rate, suggesting selective bigger wins.
- The $1.1k No buy was large for a quiet market with only about $2k traded in 24 hours.
- No has already moved from 54¢ to 64¢, matching the bettor’s direction.
$1,077 on No | Wallet win rate: 39%
Top Holders
- 0xcc7c...1d18 — Yes, $1,299 (11% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $1,023
- 0x1f9e...4f1a — No, $600 (39% win rate)
- 0x73d2...f9b7 — Yes, $300 (75% win rate)
- 0x7495...7fcf — Yes, $221
- 0x59db...2e36 — No, $200 (74% win rate)
- 0x15f6...e3f8 — Yes, $195
- 0xa99c...08b4 — Yes, $100 (100% win rate)
- 0x9c10...26ea — No, $100
- 0x3abe...1446 — No, $88
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