Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $64,980.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer
Notable Trades
98% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet override: a bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and positive P&L bought Haiti No despite only a modest trade-size signal.
- This bettor has won 41 of 42 resolved bets and is up $5,464 lifetime.
- They bought Haiti not to advance at 89¢, adding a high-confidence favorite-side position.
- The wallet’s past edge is the main signal here, even though the trade size is modest.
$1,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%
Serial cross-market whale
Large $16.8k NO bet from a heavily active cross-market trader on a relatively quiet long-dated World Cup market, though the wallet’s overall P&L is not proven sharp.
- This bettor has placed $596k across 40 markets in 37 events, showing a repeat pattern of themed positioning.
- The $16.8k NO buy was much larger than recent market activity, suggesting high conviction on Haiti not advancing.
- Entry at 89¢ is a favorite bet with limited upside, but the size stands out in a thin market.
$16,829 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Repeat whale in thin market
A repeat large bettor put nearly $47k on Haiti not advancing in a very thin market, with the bet equal to about 8x the market’s 24h volume despite only modest historical performance.
- This bettor put nearly $47k on No, about 8x the market’s 24h volume.
- The wallet is a serial cross-market trader with $549k deployed across 38 markets.
- This is a high-conviction position in a quiet market, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is slightly negative.
$46,951 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0xda3a...381f — Outcome 51365498, $23,349 (53% win rate)
- 0x1117...3532 — Outcome 51365498, $16,167 (66% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Outcome 51365498, $10,338 (85% win rate)
- 0x38e5...95e7 — Outcome 51365498, $6,889 (77% win rate)
- 0x5cae...a00a — Outcome 51365498, $3,929 (69% win rate)
- 0x51fd...4272 — Outcome 51365498, $1,300
- 0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 51365498, $1,000
- 0xb6c7...c0e2 — Outcome 51365498, $1,000
- 0xdf79...dfb4 — Outcome 51365498, $740
- 0x88cf...924d — Outcome 51365498, $721
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