Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $64,980.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer

Notable Trades

98% winner buying NO

Sharp wallet override: a bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and positive P&L bought Haiti No despite only a modest trade-size signal.

  • This bettor has won 41 of 42 resolved bets and is up $5,464 lifetime.
  • They bought Haiti not to advance at 89¢, adding a high-confidence favorite-side position.
  • The wallet’s past edge is the main signal here, even though the trade size is modest.

$1,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

Serial cross-market whale

Large $16.8k NO bet from a heavily active cross-market trader on a relatively quiet long-dated World Cup market, though the wallet’s overall P&L is not proven sharp.

  • This bettor has placed $596k across 40 markets in 37 events, showing a repeat pattern of themed positioning.
  • The $16.8k NO buy was much larger than recent market activity, suggesting high conviction on Haiti not advancing.
  • Entry at 89¢ is a favorite bet with limited upside, but the size stands out in a thin market.

$16,829 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Repeat whale in thin market

A repeat large bettor put nearly $47k on Haiti not advancing in a very thin market, with the bet equal to about 8x the market’s 24h volume despite only modest historical performance.

  • This bettor put nearly $47k on No, about 8x the market’s 24h volume.
  • The wallet is a serial cross-market trader with $549k deployed across 38 markets.
  • This is a high-conviction position in a quiet market, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is slightly negative.

$46,951 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0xda3a...381f Outcome 51365498, $23,349 (53% win rate)
  2. 0x1117...3532 Outcome 51365498, $16,167 (66% win rate)
  3. 0x1341...0853 Outcome 51365498, $10,338 (85% win rate)
  4. 0x38e5...95e7 Outcome 51365498, $6,889 (77% win rate)
  5. 0x5cae...a00a Outcome 51365498, $3,929 (69% win rate)
  6. 0x51fd...4272 Outcome 51365498, $1,300
  7. 0x56c2...6219 Outcome 51365498, $1,000
  8. 0xb6c7...c0e2 Outcome 51365498, $1,000
  9. 0xdf79...dfb4 Outcome 51365498, $740
  10. 0x88cf...924d Outcome 51365498, $721

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Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages$64,980 tracked3 signalsFIFA World CupSports2026 FIFA World CupSoccer

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

39d ago

$1,200 on No at 89¢

Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

44d ago

$16,829 on No at 89¢

Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

44d ago

$46,951 on No at 88¢

Related Theses