Part of: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
This MLB prediction market covers the August 23 Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks game, scheduled for 4:15 PM ET. It resolves to the winning team after the game is completed; a canceled game without a makeup or a tie resolves 50-50. PolySpotter tracks $20,486 in smart money activity and one recorded signal for this market.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $118,340.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Sharp wallets double down on Arizona
Six wallets, including two exceptionally successful bettors, concentrated $50,341 on Arizona despite the market moving sharply against them.
- Six wallets bought Arizona for $50,341, including bettors with 94% and 99% historical win rates.
- Two wallets share a funder, adding coordination to the unusually concentrated position.
- Arizona has fallen from roughly 56–62¢ entries to about 20¢, making this a high-conviction but currently underwater contrarian trade.
$50,341 on Arizona Diamondbacks
96% winner leads Reds cluster
A proven 96% win-rate bettor and two additional wallets jointly bought $20.5K of Cincinnati at 42–43¢ amid a 62.7x volume spike.
- The lead bettor has won 25 of 26 trades and earned $417,019 on $3.1M invested.
- Three wallets committed $20,486 to Cincinnati, with two already adding to sizeable Reds positions.
- The trades arrived during a 62.7x historical volume spike, and Cincinnati later traded around 51¢.
$20,486 on Cincinnati Reds
96% winner scales into Reds
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and $417,575 in gains is adding $18,224 to an existing Reds position amid an 82.8x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 25 of 26 resolved positions and is up $417,575.
- They added $18,224 to an existing Cincinnati Reds position, showing increased conviction rather than a routine new trade.
- The market saw an 82.8x surge versus its historical volume average, while the Reds trade entered at 43%.
$18,224 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 96%
99% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial edge is buying Arizona at 57%.
- This bettor has won 99% of 2,027 resolved positions and is up $17.6 million.
- The trader’s results imply a major edge over an average winning entry price of 56%.
- A fresh $1,115 purchase backs Arizona at 57% in a liquid market.
$1,115 on Arizona Diamondbacks | Wallet win rate: 99%
94% winner scales into Arizona
A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate added another $28,174 to an existing Arizona Diamondbacks position at 56%.
- This bettor wins 94% of 504 resolved positions and is up nearly $3.9 million.
- They added $28,174 at 56% after already investing $52,564 on Arizona, signaling strong conviction.
- The trade came from a serial cross-market trader active across 598 events and 711 markets.
$28,174 on Arizona Diamondbacks | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x5dab...22e1 — Outcome 78663184, $83,883 (53% win rate)
- 0xfe54...41d6 — Outcome 78663184, $44,382 (96% win rate)
- 0x2ada...2f28 — Outcome 13651504, $15,105 (72% win rate)
- 0x59f4...c1f1 — Outcome 78663184, $9,676 (57% win rate)
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 78663184, $5,528 (94% win rate)
- 0x32ed...f960 — Outcome 78663184, $5,366 (67% win rate)
- 0x6d3c...d294 — Outcome 78663184, $5,090 (58% win rate)
- 0xe963...6753 — Outcome 78663184, $5,053
- 0xcd5a...2351 — Outcome 78663184, $4,500 (64% win rate)
- 0x5482...b6ee — Outcome 78663184, $3,655
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