Part of: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

This MLB prediction market covers the August 23 Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks game, scheduled for 4:15 PM ET. It resolves to the winning team after the game is completed; a canceled game without a makeup or a tie resolves 50-50. PolySpotter tracks $20,486 in smart money activity and one recorded signal for this market.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $118,340.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Sharp wallets double down on Arizona

Six wallets, including two exceptionally successful bettors, concentrated $50,341 on Arizona despite the market moving sharply against them.

  • Six wallets bought Arizona for $50,341, including bettors with 94% and 99% historical win rates.
  • Two wallets share a funder, adding coordination to the unusually concentrated position.
  • Arizona has fallen from roughly 56–62¢ entries to about 20¢, making this a high-conviction but currently underwater contrarian trade.

$50,341 on Arizona Diamondbacks

96% winner leads Reds cluster

A proven 96% win-rate bettor and two additional wallets jointly bought $20.5K of Cincinnati at 42–43¢ amid a 62.7x volume spike.

  • The lead bettor has won 25 of 26 trades and earned $417,019 on $3.1M invested.
  • Three wallets committed $20,486 to Cincinnati, with two already adding to sizeable Reds positions.
  • The trades arrived during a 62.7x historical volume spike, and Cincinnati later traded around 51¢.

$20,486 on Cincinnati Reds

96% winner scales into Reds

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and $417,575 in gains is adding $18,224 to an existing Reds position amid an 82.8x volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 25 of 26 resolved positions and is up $417,575.
  • They added $18,224 to an existing Cincinnati Reds position, showing increased conviction rather than a routine new trade.
  • The market saw an 82.8x surge versus its historical volume average, while the Reds trade entered at 43%.

$18,224 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 96%

99% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial edge is buying Arizona at 57%.

  • This bettor has won 99% of 2,027 resolved positions and is up $17.6 million.
  • The trader’s results imply a major edge over an average winning entry price of 56%.
  • A fresh $1,115 purchase backs Arizona at 57% in a liquid market.

$1,115 on Arizona Diamondbacks | Wallet win rate: 99%

94% winner scales into Arizona

A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate added another $28,174 to an existing Arizona Diamondbacks position at 56%.

  • This bettor wins 94% of 504 resolved positions and is up nearly $3.9 million.
  • They added $28,174 at 56% after already investing $52,564 on Arizona, signaling strong conviction.
  • The trade came from a serial cross-market trader active across 598 events and 711 markets.

$28,174 on Arizona Diamondbacks | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5dab...22e1 Outcome 78663184, $83,883 (53% win rate)
  2. 0xfe54...41d6 Outcome 78663184, $44,382 (96% win rate)
  3. 0x2ada...2f28 Outcome 13651504, $15,105 (72% win rate)
  4. 0x59f4...c1f1 Outcome 78663184, $9,676 (57% win rate)
  5. 0xe8c4...395d Outcome 78663184, $5,528 (94% win rate)
  6. 0x32ed...f960 Outcome 78663184, $5,366 (67% win rate)
  7. 0x6d3c...d294 Outcome 78663184, $5,090 (58% win rate)
  8. 0xe963...6753 Outcome 78663184, $5,053
  9. 0xcd5a...2351 Outcome 78663184, $4,500 (64% win rate)
  10. 0x5482...b6ee Outcome 78663184, $3,655

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

6dCincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$118,340 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 23 at 4:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

CIN
3
62-69
Final
ARI
5
69-62
CIN +131ARI -140O/U 8.5
Venue
Chase Field, Phoenix
Attendance
28,433
Price History — “Arizona Diamondbacks
99¢
69¢
39¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

2h ago

$50,341 on Arizona Diamondbacks at 56¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

3h ago

$20,486 on Cincinnati Reds at 43¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

2h ago

$18,224 on Cincinnati Reds at 43¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

5h ago

$1,115 on Arizona Diamondbacks at 57¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

11h ago

$28,174 on Arizona Diamondbacks at 56¢

Related Theses