Part of: Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,082.

Notable Trades

89% win-rate political sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved-bet win rate bought No at 84%, and the market has already moved to 90%.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $1.6M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 73 events with $14.2M in flagged activity.
Bought No at 84%, and the market has already moved to 90%.

$1,736 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

New wallet moving thin market

A new wallet made a $3k Yes bet on a niche political extradition market, overwhelming prior volume and coinciding with a sharp price jump, though the wallet has no proven track record yet.

A new wallet put $3.0k on Yes in a market that had only about $66 in recent volume at the time.
The trade helped push Yes up roughly 37 percentage points, suggesting one-sided conviction in a thin order book.
This is a niche political market where informed positioning is plausible, but the wallet’s resolved history is still limited.

$3,004 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 40%

Serial cross-market bettor

Experienced cross-market bettor with positive P&L made a No bet larger than recent market activity on a quiet political extradition market.

This bettor has traded 42 markets across 31 events and is modestly profitable overall.
The $1.6K No buy was about 2.7x the market’s recent 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
The trade follows momentum: Yes is down about 19% this week, while No was bought near 90¢.

$1,620 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%

Serial bettor in thin market

A profitable serial cross-market bettor put a relatively large buy on No in a quiet political extradition market, worth surfacing but not a top-tier sharp signal.

This bettor has traded 42 related markets across 31 events and is up about $3.8K lifetime.
The $1.5K No buy was over 4x this market’s recent 24h volume, showing unusual conviction in a quiet market.
Entry at 89¢ is aligned with the market’s recent move toward No, though the upside is limited.

$1,543 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%

Serial political bettor buys NO

Experienced cross-market bettor with positive history made a large No bet that dwarfs recent volume in a quiet political/legal market.

This bettor has traded 41 markets across 30 events and is modestly profitable over 87 resolved bets.
The $1.9K No buy was nearly 3x the market’s recent 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet order book.
They entered No at 85¢ while the market is now around 82¢, offering a slightly better copy price than their entry.

$1,919 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable serial event trader

A highly active cross-market trader with $636k lifetime profit bought Yes on a quiet political market with size nearly 2x the market's 24h volume.

This bettor is up about $636k lifetime across more than 1,100 resolved markets.
The buy was large for this quiet market, equal to 187% of the past day's volume.
Entry at 37¢ implies they see meaningful upside on a long-shot political outcome.

$1,259 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

Top Holders

0x69ad...365a — Outcome 90895813, $2,422
0x6cf5...04af — Outcome 90895813, $2,380
0x49b0...1279 — Outcome 90895813, $1,280
0x6fb1...c612 — Outcome 90895813, $1,032
0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 90895813, $943
0x0279...c198 — Outcome 90895813, $868
0xe713...af20 — Outcome 90895813, $793
0x388e...68cc — Outcome 90895813, $738
0xef7c...3866 — Outcome 90895813, $565
0x2bbb...9373 — Outcome 90895813, $543

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Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

ResolvedSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?$11,082 tracked6 signalsPoliticscartelMexico

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rubén Rocha Moya is extradited to the United States between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Extradited to the United States” means Rocha Moya is physically transferred to U.S. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process. If Rocha Moya otherwise enters U.S. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date, this will also qualify. An announcement that extradition has been requested, approved, ordered, or agreed to will not qualify unless Rocha Moya is physically transferred to, arrested by, or otherwise taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rubén Rocha Moya, the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa, the United States government, and relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.