When does the Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev market resolve?

The match was originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, and the market has a resolution date of May 22, 2026. If the match is completed before then, settlement depends on which player advances.

What happens if Sinner vs Medvedev is canceled or delayed?

If the match is canceled, not played at all, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days beyond the scheduled date without a winner, the market follows the listed cancellation and delay resolution rules rather than resolving to either player.

How much smart money is tracked on this market?

PolySpotter is tracking $59,051 in smart money for this Sinner vs Medvedev market, with 1 smart money signal recorded and recent alert headlines showing activity on both sides.

What do the recent smart money alerts suggest?

Recent alerts include wallet surges and high-win-rate traders backing both Sinner and Medvedev. That means the market has seen notable sharp activity on each side, rather than a one-sided smart money consensus.

Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev

Q: What is the Sinner vs Medvedev prediction market about?

This market asks which player will advance in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia match between Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev. It resolves to Sinner if he advances, or to Medvedev if he advances.

This Polymarket-style prediction market covers the Internazionali BNL d'Italia match between Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev, scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 22, 2026 if the match is delayed or settlement conditions require it. PolySpotter is tracking $59,051 in smart money activity, including recent signals on both Sinner and Medvedev flows.

This market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Jannik Sinner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

19 smart money signals detected, totaling $253,896.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

99% winner fading favorite

Elite serial cross-market bettor with a 99% resolved win rate is effectively buying Medvedev at 10¢ with a $59k position.

This bettor has won 99% of 1,348 resolved trades and is up $41k lifetime.
They are effectively buying Medvedev at 10¢ with a $59k bet against the heavy favorite.
This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 304 markets and $4.65M in tracked volume.

$59,051 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 99%

87% cross-market winner

Surfacing because the seller is a proven serial cross-market trader with an 87% resolved win rate across 159 bets, converting the Sinner sell into a Medvedev buy at 11¢.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades across 159 bets.
They are a serial cross-market trader with 98 events and over $510k flagged volume.
Selling Sinner at 89¢ is equivalent to buying Medvedev at 11¢ for a long-shot upset position.

$1,036 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 87%

88% winner caught Sinner move

A highly proven tennis/sports bettor with an 88% win rate bought Jannik Sinner at 66% before the market moved sharply to 84%.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $82K lifetime.
They bought Jannik Sinner at 66¢ before the market jumped to 84¢.
The wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 45 events with the same 88% hit rate.

$1,689 on Jannik Sinner | Wallet win rate: 88%

91% winner backing favorite

Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate bought $10k of Sinner ahead of a major volume spike and 20-point price move.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $141,917 lifetime.
They bought $10,000 of Sinner at 75¢ before the market moved to 84¢.
This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 34 events with a strong sports track record.

$10,000 on Jannik Sinner | Wallet win rate: 91%

$8.9M profitable serial trader

Highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Jannik Sinner before a sharp 20-point move amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 73% of 5,708 resolved bets and is up $8.9M lifetime.
They bought Jannik Sinner at 67¢ before the market jumped to about 84¢.
The market saw a 54x volume spike, suggesting broader momentum behind the move.

$7,191 on Jannik Sinner | Wallet win rate: 73%

14-wallet Sinner surge

A very large 14-wallet one-sided push bought $140.9k of Sinner amid a major volume spike, with several high-volume profitable sports traders participating despite some opposing flow and a price drop.

14 wallets bought the same side, putting $140.9k on Sinner in a highly active tennis market.
One participating bettor is up $2.45M lifetime across nearly 29,000 resolved trades, adding weight to the flow.
Volume is running 32.9x above normal, suggesting this match is drawing unusually concentrated money.

$140,905 on Jannik Sinner

93% winner on Medvedev

Elite 93% lifetime winner bought Medvedev at 28¢ amid a 9-wallet one-sided move and the price has already moved to 36¢.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $2.66M lifetime.
They bought Medvedev at 28¢ before the market moved to 36¢.
Nine wallets are betting the same way, totaling $19.3K on Medvedev.

$2,567 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 93%

90% winner joins Medvedev flow

Sharp 90% winning tennis bettor with large lifetime profit is buying Medvedev, backed by one-sided flow from 9 wallets and a major volume spike.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $761k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 44 events with a 90% hit rate and $2.1M traded.
Nine wallets are buying the same side, with $19k total on Medvedev and volume spiking 33x.

$3,458 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 90%

9-wallet Medvedev move

A high-volume serial cross-market tennis trader joined a 9-wallet move against Sinner amid a major volume spike and sharp price drop, though this wallet's lifetime P&L is negative.

Nine wallets are all betting the same way, with $19.3K flowing toward Medvedev.
This trader has handled 66 related events and wins 71% of resolved bets across 1,124 results.
Sinner’s price fell 18 points as volume spiked 32.9x, matching the direction of this trade.

$1,071 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable serial sports sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Sinner at 69¢ after a sharp price drop, despite having previously closed a larger Sinner position.

This bettor has a massive track record: 5,708 resolved bets, 73% winners, and about $8.9M in profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader with over $14M tracked across 1,882 markets, suggesting this is a repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.
They bought Sinner at 69¢ after a 20-point drop, implying they see value after the market moved against him.

$1,311 on Jannik Sinner | Wallet win rate: 73%