Part of: UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $114,847.

Categories: UFC, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

82% win-rate sports sharp

A proven sharp sports trader with an 82% win rate bought Gauge Young at 84¢ before a strong move to 96%, making this a credible momentum-follow signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 82% of 409 resolved trades and is up about $891k lifetime
  • They trade heavily across 68 events and bought Gauge Young at 84¢ before the price jumped to 96¢
  • The move already worked fast, suggesting real conviction even in a very active market

$1,547 on Gauge Young | Wallet win rate: 81%

97% win-rate sharp

A proven elite sports bettor with a 97% win rate and nearly $3.0M in profit bought Thiago Moises as the market was moving up on a volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.0M across 463 bets
  • They trade heavily across 353 markets and 325 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought Thiago Moises at 33¢ as volume jumped 14.1x and the price was moving higher

$1,570 on Thiago Moises | Wallet win rate: 97%

82% win-rate serial trader

A proven sharp sports-style trader with an 82% win rate bought into a fast-moving UFC side before a major price jump, making this a strong momentum-follow signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $891k across 409 bets
  • They bought Gauge Young at 69¢, and the market quickly moved to 78¢ after a sharp price jump
  • This wallet has traded 77 markets across 68 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet

$2,777 on Gauge Young | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp bettor chasing breakout

A proven profitable UFC bettor with a 79% win rate bought into strong momentum on Gauge Young during a sharp pre-fight volume and price surge.

  • This bettor wins 79% of their trades and is up about $140k across 220 resolved bets
  • They bought Gauge Young at 67¢ as the market ripped 25 points higher on a 14x volume spike
  • The bet is meaningful at $3.2k and lines up with the current market around 68¢

$3,241 on Gauge Young | Wallet win rate: 79%

82% win-rate bettor

A proven high-win-rate sports trader with 409 resolved bets bought Gauge Young despite the market later moving sharply against them, making this a notable sharp contrarian position worth tracking.

  • This bettor wins 82% of their trades and is up about $891k across 409 resolved bets
  • They bought Gauge Young at 63¢ even though the market now sits near 47¢, showing a clear contrarian view
  • This wallet has traded 76 markets across 67 events, which points to a repeatable sports betting process

$1,707 on Gauge Young | Wallet win rate: 81%

98% win-rate UFC bettor

A proven sharp wallet with a 98% win rate and strong profits made a fresh $20.9k buy on Gauge Young during a major pre-fight volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $235k across 63 settled positions.
  • They just put $20.9k on Gauge Young at 59¢, a sizable fresh bet from a wallet that has traded 39 markets across 36 events.
  • The market saw a 102x volume spike before the fight, which adds weight to this timing and direction.

$20,899 on Gauge Young | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp 4-wallet UFC pile-in

Four wallets piled nearly $82k into Gauge Young, led by two extremely profitable sports bettors with 89% and 98% win rates, making this coordinated flow worth following despite a liquid market.

  • Two proven bettors led this move: one wins 98% of bets and is up $235k, another wins 89% and is up $2.23M.
  • Four wallets bought the same side within minutes, putting nearly $82k on Gauge Young at 59¢.
  • Market activity is surging with a 152x volume spike, suggesting fast money is converging on the same fight outcome.

$81,894 on Gauge Young

20-0 sharp UFC bettor

A bettor with a perfect 20-for-20 resolved record bought Gauge Young in a relatively thin UFC market, making this a credible sharp sports bet worth surfacing.

  • This bettor has won all 20 of their resolved markets and is up nearly $23k
  • They bought Gauge Young at 55¢ in a market with only about $3.8k of 24-hour volume
  • The entry price suggests they see Gauge Young as better than a 55% chance

$1,213 on Gauge Young | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x05c4...78c6 Outcome 22744802, $32,633
  2. 0x1433...56a0 Outcome 22744802, $14,140 (97% win rate)
  3. 0xf5e1...5ad0 Outcome 22744802, $10,543 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x777d...5143 Outcome 22744802, $4,614 (58% win rate)
  5. 0xd1d9...5896 Outcome 22744802, $3,345 (40% win rate)
  6. 0x7dbc...d4ad Outcome 22744802, $2,439 (91% win rate)
  7. 0x7690...74e1 Outcome 22744802, $2,222 (80% win rate)
  8. 0x1918...20d1 Outcome 22744802, $2,140 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 22744802, $2,121 (74% win rate)
  10. 0xa38a...821d Outcome 22744802, $1,253 (57% win rate)

Related Theses

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UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)

This market will resolve to "Thiago Moises" if Thiago Moises is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gauge Young at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Gauge Young" if Gauge Young is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)

24d ago

$1,547 on Gauge Young at 84¢

UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)

24d ago

$1,570 on Thiago Moises at 33¢

UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)

24d ago

$2,777 on Gauge Young at 69¢

UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)

24d ago

$3,241 on Gauge Young at 67¢

UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)

24d ago

$1,707 on Gauge Young at 63¢

UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)

24d ago

$20,899 on Gauge Young at 59¢

UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)

24d ago

$81,894 on Gauge Young at 59¢

UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)

26d ago

$1,213 on Gauge Young at 55¢

Related Theses