Part of: Ohio Governor Election Winner

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

This prediction market asks whether the Republican candidate will win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election. It resolves according to the certified election winner; current market odds are not included in the provided metadata. PolySpotter tracks $4,820 in smart-money activity and one recorded signal for this market.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,320.

Categories: Elections, Midterms, US Election, Politics, Governor midterms, Ohio Midterm, Amy Acton, vivek ramaswamy

Notable Trades

New whale scaling into Yes

A two-day-old wallet has repeatedly scaled into a large Yes position, accounting for 86% of 24-hour volume in a relatively thin Ohio governor market, though it lacks a proven track record.

  • A wallet only 2 days old has committed about $10,000 to Yes, including this additional $2,500 purchase.
  • Its trades represent 86% of the market’s 24-hour volume, making the position unusually concentrated in a thin market.
  • The wallet has no resolved positions yet, so its apparent conviction is not supported by a proven betting record.

$4,820 on Yes

New whale scaling into Yes

A two-day-old wallet has repeatedly scaled into a large Yes position, accounting for 86% of 24-hour volume in a relatively thin Ohio governor market, though it lacks a proven track record.

  • A wallet only 2 days old has committed about $10,000 to Yes, including this additional $2,500 purchase.
  • Its trades represent 86% of the market’s 24-hour volume, making the position unusually concentrated in a thin market.
  • The wallet has no resolved positions yet, so its apparent conviction is not supported by a proven betting record.

$2,500 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $16,112
  2. 0x22b0...14b3 Yes, $9,807
  3. 0x7726...4aee No, $5,392 (43% win rate)
  4. 0x33de...e384 No, $5,011 (33% win rate)
  5. 0xf1fc...0ec1 Yes, $5,000 (73% win rate)
  6. 0xc684...2228 Yes, $3,245 (77% win rate)
  7. 0x35dc...b9ef Yes, $3,128 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x2d4b...ca7a Yes, $2,662
  9. 0x9536...7e50 Yes, $2,250
  10. 0x9d84...1344 Yes, $2,220 (43% win rate)

Related Theses

Vance and Rubio will lose 2028 election

Covers 2 related markets

Democrats will control the House

Covers 3 related markets

Republicans will win 2028 election

Covers 2 related markets

Republicans will win Iowa Senate

Covers 2 related markets

Democrats will win Michigan Senate

Covers 2 related markets

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ohio Governor Election Winner$7,320 tracked2 signalsElectionsMidtermsUS ElectionPoliticsGovernor midtermsOhio MidtermAmy Actonvivek ramaswamy
Yes
50¢
No
51¢

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Price History — “No
54¢
50¢
46¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

7d ago

$4,820 on Yes at 47¢

47¢50¢3¢

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

10d ago

$2,500 on Yes at 47¢

47¢50¢3¢

Related Theses