This bettor has won 57 of 58 resolved bets and is up $43k lifetime. They put $3.6k on NO in a thin market, buying at about 71¢ before it moved to 89¢. This is part of a broader 4-market World Cup thesis totaling $6.7k.

Part of: World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout

Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,473.

Categories: Sports, Tournament Futures, world cup, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, 2026 FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

98% winner buying NO

Sharp wallet with a 98% resolved-bet win rate and strong P&L bought a sizable NO position in a thin World Cup shootout market, with price moving sharply in its favor.

This bettor has won 57 of 58 resolved bets and is up $43k lifetime.
They put $3.6k on NO in a thin market, buying at about 71¢ before it moved to 89¢.
This is part of a broader 4-market World Cup thesis totaling $6.7k.

$3,812 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

89% winner betting NO

Sharp wallet with an 89% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is building a cross-market thesis against high penalty-shootout totals.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $25.5k lifetime.
They have bet $7.5k across 4 related World Cup shootout markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
Buying No at 90¢ matches recent market momentum, with Yes down 10.5% today.

$1,824 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

98% winner buying NO

Sharp wallet with a 98% resolved-bet win rate and strong P&L bought a sizable NO position in a thin World Cup shootout market, with price moving sharply in its favor.

This bettor has won 57 of 58 resolved bets and is up $43k lifetime.
They put $3.6k on NO in a thin market, buying at about 71¢ before it moved to 89¢.
This is part of a broader 4-market World Cup thesis totaling $6.7k.

$10,180 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

94% winner on soccer unders

Sharp wallet with a 94% resolved win rate and positive P&L is buying No on a thin World Cup shootout market as part of a broader cross-market soccer thesis.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $43K lifetime.
They have $11.5K spread across 4 related markets, suggesting a broader World Cup thesis.
The market is thin, and this $2.9K buy was about a full day’s volume at 77¢.

$4,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

98% winner buying NO

Sharp wallet with a 98% resolved-bet win rate and strong P&L bought a sizable NO position in a thin World Cup shootout market, with price moving sharply in its favor.

This bettor has won 57 of 58 resolved bets and is up $43k lifetime.
They put $3.6k on NO in a thin market, buying at about 71¢ before it moved to 89¢.
This is part of a broader 4-market World Cup thesis totaling $6.7k.

$4,767 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

94% winner on soccer unders

Sharp wallet with a 94% resolved win rate and positive P&L is buying No on a thin World Cup shootout market as part of a broader cross-market soccer thesis.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $43K lifetime.
They have $11.5K spread across 4 related markets, suggesting a broader World Cup thesis.
The market is thin, and this $2.9K buy was about a full day’s volume at 77¢.

$2,910 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

98% winner buying NO

Sharp wallet with a 98% resolved-bet win rate and strong P&L bought a sizable NO position in a thin World Cup shootout market, with price moving sharply in its favor.

This bettor has won 57 of 58 resolved bets and is up $43k lifetime.
They put $3.6k on NO in a thin market, buying at about 71¢ before it moved to 89¢.
This is part of a broader 4-market World Cup thesis totaling $6.7k.

$5,374 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

98% winner buying NO

Sharp wallet with a 98% resolved-bet win rate and strong P&L bought a sizable NO position in a thin World Cup shootout market, with price moving sharply in its favor.

This bettor has won 57 of 58 resolved bets and is up $43k lifetime.
They put $3.6k on NO in a thin market, buying at about 71¢ before it moved to 89¢.
This is part of a broader 4-market World Cup thesis totaling $6.7k.

$3,605 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

0x2b3d...8db7 — Outcome 50585128, $14,994 (24% win rate)
0xd5d8...e9a1 — Outcome 50585128, $9,000 (59% win rate)
0x7dd0...2b4b — Outcome 50585128, $3,200 (66% win rate)
0x3879...d8c3 — Outcome 50585128, $1,000
0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 50585128, $1,000
0x0c99...87cf — Outcome 50585128, $973
0x9bf6...4a06 — Outcome 50585128, $500
0x8454...331a — Outcome 50585128, $300 (91% win rate)
0x476c...ce52 — Outcome 50585128, $225
0x75cb...1556 — Outcome 50585128, $150

Related Theses

Established nations reach knockouts

Covers 7 related markets

World Cup shootouts stay under six

Covers 4 related markets

Four to six shootouts

Covers 4 related markets

Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout$36,473 tracked8 signalsSportsTournament Futuresworld cupFIFA World CupSoccer2026 FIFA World Cup

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.