World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout
16 signals across 6 markets · $57,756 tracked · resolves Jul 20, 2026
This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market for how many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will be decided by penalty shootout, focused on whether the total reaches 9 or more. PolySpotter has tracked $5,103 in smart money activity, including a recent signal showing a 98% winner buying thin No, suggesting sharp attention on the under side.
Markets (6)
- Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?8 signals · $36,473 tracked
- Will 9+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3 signals · $12,234 tracked
- Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $4,140 tracked
- Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2 signals · $2,381 tracked
- Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $1,491 tracked
- Will 4+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $1,037 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp linked whale adding No
Sharp 93% winner with a large linked-wallet cluster is adding to a No position on a quiet World Cup prop market.
$4,140Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 9.6 - 98% winner buying thin No
A highly profitable 98% winner put $5.1k into No on a very thin World Cup penalty-shootout market, moving the price sharply higher.
$5,103Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 9.5 - 98% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet with a 98% resolved-bet win rate and strong P&L bought a sizable NO position in a thin World Cup shootout market, with price moving sharply in its favor.
$5,374Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 8.0 - 94% winner event thesis
Sharp 94% win-rate wallet with strong positive P&L is buying No in a thin long-dated World Cup market as part of a larger cross-market thesis.
$1,491Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 7.5 - 94% World Cup specialist
Sharp wallet with a 94% resolved win rate and positive P&L bought No on a thin World Cup shootout market as part of a broader cross-market thesis.
$4,641Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 7.0 - 98% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet with a 98% resolved-bet win rate and strong P&L bought a sizable NO position in a thin World Cup shootout market, with price moving sharply in its favor.
$10,180Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 6.5 - 98% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet with a 98% resolved-bet win rate and strong P&L bought a sizable NO position in a thin World Cup shootout market, with price moving sharply in its favor.
$3,605Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 6.5 - 94% winner on soccer unders
Sharp wallet with a 94% resolved win rate and positive P&L is buying No on a thin World Cup shootout market as part of a broader cross-market soccer thesis.
$4,000Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 6.0 - 94% winner World Cup thesis
Sharp profitable wallet with a 94% resolved-bet win rate is adding a cross-market World Cup thesis by buying No on 7+ penalty shootouts.
$1,347Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 6.0 - 98% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet with a 98% resolved-bet win rate and strong P&L bought a sizable NO position in a thin World Cup shootout market, with price moving sharply in its favor.
$3,812Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x5fd86d…ce32$47,231 · 4 markets · 11 alerts · 89% wins
- 0x8de2ce…8483$6,385 · 4 markets · 4 alerts · 88% wins
- 0x9c987f…f4f4$4,140 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for 9+ World Cup matches to be decided by penalty shootout?
The live odds are based on Polymarket trading for the 2026 World Cup penalty shootout market. This event specifically tracks whether 9 or more matches are decided by a penalty shootout.
What is the smart money doing on this World Cup penalty shootout market?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,103 in smart money activity across this event. The latest alert flagged a 98% winner buying thin No, indicating notable sharp interest against the 9+ shootout outcome.
Which matches count toward this market?
Only matches that go to a penalty shootout to determine the result count. Since group-stage matches cannot be decided by shootout, only knockout-stage games are relevant.
When does this World Cup penalty shootout market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve by July 20, 2026, after the 2026 FIFA World Cup concludes and official data confirms the number of matches decided by shootout.
Where can I track the 2026 World Cup penalty shootout prediction market?
You can follow this event hub for Polymarket odds, market movement, and PolySpotter smart money alerts on the 2026 World Cup penalty shootout total.