Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,261.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 5M

Notable Trades

91% serial timer

Sharp wallet with a 91% historical win rate and repeated near-resolution success bought $2.3k of Down minutes before this BTC market resolves.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $24,085 lifetime.
  • They placed this $2,261 Down bet just 8 minutes before resolution, matching a repeated last-minute betting pattern.
  • Entry around 55¢ implies they see Down as meaningfully underpriced despite the market sitting near 52¢ now.

$2,261 on Down | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0x46ee...b4d9 — Up, $5,080 (0% win rate)
  2. 0x93b1...7c90 — Up, $3,133
  3. 0x1e50...2473 — Up, $2,000 (38% win rate)
  4. 0xa3ac...5caf — Up, $844
  5. 0x8905...b1cb — Up, $375
  6. 0xd92f...3d83 — Up, $329
  7. 0x59d9...1301 — Up, $300
  8. 0x2588...1cfd — Up, $300
  9. 0xc0ff...136b — Up, $276
  10. 0xdbb9...a31b — Up, $263

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$2,261 tracked1 signalUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin5M
Up
0¢
Down
100¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

2026-05-15 08:32 UTC

$2,261 on Down at 55¢

55¢→100¢↑45¢