What is the Todd Blanche attorney general prediction market?

It is a prediction market on whether Todd Blanche will be confirmed by the U.S. Senate as United States attorney general by August 30 at 11:59 PM ET.

What happens if Todd Blanche’s nomination is withdrawn?

If the nomination is formally withdrawn, the market immediately resolves to No.

Does a recess appointment count as confirmation?

No. The market requires Senate confirmation, so a recess appointment without Senate approval does not qualify for a Yes outcome.

What happens if the Senate rejects Todd Blanche’s nomination?

If the Senate rejects the nomination, the market immediately resolves to No.

Where can I track Todd Blanche confirmation odds?

You can follow the live Yes and No prices, market activity, and smart money signals on the PolySpotter market page.

Part of: Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by...?

Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?

This prediction market tracks whether the U.S. Senate will confirm Todd Blanche as United States attorney general by August 30 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves Yes only after Senate confirmation; a withdrawal, rejection, or recess appointment resolves No. Live odds and smart money activity can change as the deadline approaches.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,423.

Categories: Senate, Blanche, attorney general, vote, Politics

Notable Trades

Serial bettor scaling into Yes

A serial cross-market trader added $1,423 to an existing Yes position in a thin market, though the wallet's track record does not show a clear odds-adjusted edge.

Added $1,423 to an existing Yes position in a market with only $791 of 24-hour volume and $1,026 liquidity.
The wallet has traded across 49 markets and 38 events, with a 69% win rate over 1,209 resolved bets.
Yes has risen 57.5% over the past week, supporting the trader's direction, but the entry is already expensive at 87¢.

$1,423 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 13362369, $3,533
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 13362369, $2,805
0x7bb2...682c — Outcome 13362369, $2,000 (69% win rate)
0x215a...254c — Outcome 13362369, $1,019
0xc602...7fc1 — Outcome 13362369, $417 (43% win rate)
0x2c41...133e — Outcome 13362369, $362 (61% win rate)
0xfb9d...d78e — Outcome 13362369, $222
0xc412...592d — Outcome 13362369, $115
0x2213...492c — Outcome 13362369, $100
0xecfa...3c6f — Outcome 13362369, $100

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Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?

130dTodd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by...?$1,423 tracked1 signalSenateBlancheattorney generalvotePolitics

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is confirmed as United States Attorney General by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Todd Blanche's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as United States Attorney General for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes”

98¢

58¢

17¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction