This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $168K lifetime. The $2.2K NO buy was large for this thin market, equal to 68.5% of 24h volume. They entered NO at 85¢, showing strong conviction that the 100-119 post range misses.

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

ResolvedDonald Trump # Truth Social posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?$2,225 tracked1 signalPoliticsTrumpTweet MarketsRewards Automation 200 4.5 50

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No”

102¢

85¢

67¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction