Part of: Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $112,214.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Proven profitable sports bettor with a 77% long-run win record bought Mariano Navone amid a major price move and volume spike.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $419K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 79 events tracked and the same 77% win record.
- Navone’s price jumped 31 points alongside a 25.9x volume spike, suggesting strong momentum behind the entry.
$1,800 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports trader bought Navone before a major price move, alongside a 26x volume spike and 31-point move toward the same side.
- This bettor has won 74% of 340 resolved trades and is up $40,115 lifetime.
- They bought Mariano Navone at 67¢ before the market moved to 72¢.
- The market saw a 26x volume spike and a 31-point move toward Navone.
$1,500 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp cluster buying Navone
High-conviction Navone buying from a 5-wallet cluster includes multiple highly profitable sports bettors, led by a wallet with a 92% win rate and $2.45M lifetime profit, despite opposing Ruud flow.
- A 92% winning bettor with $2.45M lifetime profit put over $14.8K behind Navone.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $23.5K total, alongside a 43x pre-event volume spike.
- Navone has pulled back from their average entry near 68¢ to 57¢, giving a cheaper copy price than the cluster paid.
$23,458 on Mariano Navone
95% winner backs Ruud
Elite tennis bettor with a 95% historical win rate bought Casper Ruud alongside one-sided clustered flow, despite the market moving against the entry afterward.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved positions and is up $279K lifetime.
- They have traded 112 events with a strong cross-market record, making the wallet itself the main signal.
- 11 wallets bought the same side for $39K total, though Ruud has since dropped from 54¢ to about 42¢.
$5,986 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 95%
Sharp bettor joins 11-wallet Ruud flow
Despite being partly profit-taking, this is worth surfacing because an 81% lifetime winner is exiting Navone while a linked 11-wallet cluster is positioned the same way toward Casper Ruud.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $265K lifetime.
- 11 wallets are all positioned toward Casper Ruud, totaling $39K on the same side.
- The trade is not a fresh buy — this wallet sold a winning Navone position after entering around 19¢.
$5,684 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 82%
Proven sharp plus cluster
A highly profitable 80% lifetime bettor is buying Casper Ruud alongside an 11-wallet same-direction cluster and a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $498k lifetime across nearly $4.9M invested.
- 11 wallets are all buying Casper Ruud, totaling about $39k in same-direction flow.
- The sharp bought at 51¢, while the market is now around 42¢, offering a cheaper entry than their fill.
$5,000 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp wallets buying underdog
High-conviction Ruud flow from 7 wallets is worth surfacing because it includes two very profitable sharp bettors and a major one-sided move during a large volume spike.
- Two standout bettors in this flow win 95% and 92% of their resolved trades and are up a combined $2.7M.
- Seven wallets put $21k toward Casper Ruud, with several buying while his odds fell to 28¢.
- Volume spiked 26x and the price moved sharply, suggesting this is meaningful live-match positioning rather than routine betting.
$20,951 on Casper Ruud
95% winner buying Ruud
A highly profitable tennis/sports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate bought $10.4k of Casper Ruud despite the market later trading lower.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $276k lifetime.
- They have traded across 111 events with a strong record, making the wallet itself the main signal.
- They bought Ruud at 74¢, while the market is now around 60¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp paid.
$10,418 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 95%
98% winner backing Ruud
Surface because a highly profitable 98% win-rate sports trader is part of a 4-wallet one-sided Ruud buy cluster with strong cross-market history.
- A bettor who has won 39 of 40 resolved bets and is up $309K is buying Casper Ruud.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $9.55K, showing coordinated conviction around Ruud.
- The sharp wallet has traded 42 related events with a 98% hit rate, making the bettor the main signal.
$9,550 on Casper Ruud
Sharp bettor backing underdog
Sharp sports bettor with an 81% long-term win rate and $260k profit is buying the 19¢ underdog amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $260k lifetime.
- They have traded across 74 sports events with the same 81% hit rate.
- Entry at 19¢ on the underdog implies a high-upside view before the match.
$2,000 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0x5291...d4b6 — Outcome 14358844, $30,689 (100% win rate)
- 0x03f8...d85a — Outcome 14358844, $25,190 (95% win rate)
- 0x479e...91c3 — Outcome 14358844, $15,980 (81% win rate)
- 0x1eaf...9bf0 — Outcome 14358844, $9,286 (68% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 14358844, $8,949 (93% win rate)
- 0x5031...1ffb — Outcome 14358844, $8,800 (56% win rate)
- 0x7b2f...3531 — Outcome 14358844, $6,983 (80% win rate)
- 0xf284...b9f9 — Outcome 14358844, $6,854 (92% win rate)
- 0x51e1...5ec9 — Outcome 14358844, $6,500 (44% win rate)
- 0x4340...363d — Outcome 14358844, $6,370 (80% win rate)
Related Theses
Legacy sweeps TYLOO
Covers 3 related markets
