What does the Solstice FDV above $150M market predict?

It predicts whether Solstice’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation greater than $150 million one day after its launch.

How is Solstice’s FDV calculated for this Polymarket market?

FDV is calculated as the token’s total supply multiplied by its token price at the resolution time.

When does the Solstice FDV market resolve?

The market resolves at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following Solstice’s token launch, as long as the token is publicly transferable and tradable. The listed end date is January 1, 2027.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking on this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $6,492 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal, with recent alerts including a new Solstice bear wallet and a 94% winner buying Yes.

Part of: Solstice FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Q: What counts as Solstice’s token launch?

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable to be considered launched for this market.

This Polymarket market asks whether Solstice’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $150 million one day after launch. Resolution is based on total token supply multiplied by token price at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after the token becomes publicly transferable and tradable; PolySpotter is tracking $6,492 in smart money activity, including a recent Yes buy from a 94% winner.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,618.

Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, Solstice, FDV

Notable Trades

New wallet Solstice bear

New 21-day-old wallet is making a sizable No bet and has built a $28k cross-market Solstice FDV thesis despite limited resolved track record.

A 21-day-old wallet is making repeat large bets, with $42.6k flagged across recent trades.
This is part of a broader Solstice thesis across 4 related markets totaling $28.1k.
The $6.5k entry was larger than the market’s 24h volume, suggesting strong conviction in a quiet market.

$6,492 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

94% winner buying Yes

Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a strong 94% resolved-bet record and positive lifetime P&L.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $13,952 lifetime.
They bought Yes at 75¢ in a thin market with only $5,645 in 24h volume.
The bet is modest but comes from a wallet with a proven track record.

$1,126 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

0x14b9...f378 — Outcome 63140817, $10,500 (59% win rate)
0xf4a8...efc9 — Outcome 63140817, $1,500
0xa1c6...61fd — Outcome 63140817, $1,145
0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 63140817, $1,081
0xa994...19a6 — Outcome 63140817, $1,077
0x604a...a58e — Outcome 63140817, $573 (77% win rate)
0x8aaf...7beb — Outcome 63140817, $500
0xd4d5...1119 — Outcome 63140817, $437 (88% win rate)
0x8c75...6f44 — Outcome 63140817, $257
0x48dd...df20 — Outcome 63140817, $204

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Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?

129dSolstice FDV above ___ one day after launch?$7,618 tracked2 signalsCryptoPre-MarketSolsticeFDV

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Solstice's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Solstice (https://x.com/solsticefi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".