When does the Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve by June 6, 2026 at 09:00 UTC, based on the Roland Garros match originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

What happens if the match is canceled or delayed?

If the match is not played at all, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the original scheduled time, the market follows its cancellation and delay rules rather than resolving to either player.

What smart money is tracked on this market?

PolySpotter is tracking $3,773 in smart money and 1 smart money signal for this market. Recent alert headlines include sharp cluster activity, a repeat bettor backing the underdog, and a profitable whale joining the underdog cluster.

Where can I find Polymarket odds for Auger-Aliassime vs Nakashima?

You can follow this market on PolySpotter to monitor Polymarket odds, smart money signals, whale activity, and changes in sentiment ahead of the Roland Garros match.

Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima

Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima

Q: What is the Auger-Aliassime vs Nakashima prediction market about?

This market predicts which player will advance in the Roland Garros ATP match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Brandon Nakashima. It resolves to Felix Auger-Aliassime if he advances, or Brandon Nakashima if he advances.

This Polymarket market covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Brandon Nakashima, scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET, with resolution by June 6, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, and PolySpotter is tracking $3,773 in smart money with 1 signal, including recent alerts suggesting underdog interest and sharp bettor activity.

This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Brandon Nakashima in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

16 smart money signals detected, totaling $91,132.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable high-volume bettor

Moderately interesting because a very high-volume profitable wallet bought Felix during a sharp pre-match move with market volume spiking, though the individual bet is modest versus liquidity.

This wallet is up about $605K across more than 7,600 resolved trades, despite only winning 53% of them.
The bet came during an 11x pre-event volume spike and after a fast 20-point price drop, suggesting they may be buying a dip.
Felix has already moved from their 82¢ entry to 84¢, giving early confirmation of the position.

$3,773 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 53%

88% serial sports winner

A proven 88% win-rate serial cross-market bettor bought Felix at 84¢ in a liquid tennis market after a sharp intraday move.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades across 179 bets and is profitable lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 103 events and over $525K wagered.
Bought Felix at 84¢ after a sharp price move, with the market already ticking up to 86¢.

$2,000 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable whale joins underdog cluster

Three wallets bought Brandon Nakashima against the market, including a highly profitable high-volume bettor who flipped after closing a Felix position.

Three wallets are all backing the 14¢ underdog, totaling $7.8K in the same direction.
One bettor in the cluster is up $1.7M lifetime across $174M traded and just flipped away from Felix.
The average entry was about 17¢, while the market has since pulled back to 14¢.

$7,779 on Brandon Nakashima

Serial trader caught momentum

Serial cross-market bettor with a 76% resolved win rate sold Felix before a sharp 20-point move against him, creating a clear equivalent BUY on Nakashima.

This bettor has won 76% of 235 resolved markets across 43 events, though lifetime profit is roughly flat.
They sold Felix at 84¢, equivalent to buying Nakashima at 16¢, before Felix dropped to 70¢.
The market moved 20 points in five minutes, suggesting the trade caught real momentum.

$1,736 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 76%

73% winner fading favorite

A high-volume profitable sports bettor with a 73% record is taking the Brandon Nakashima side by selling Felix Auger-Aliassime after a sharp downward price move.

This bettor has won 73% of 590 resolved trades and is up about $30k lifetime.
They are effectively backing Brandon Nakashima at 39¢, a contrarian underdog position.
The trade came during a fast 20-point move against Felix, suggesting sharp momentum behind the fade.

$1,251 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 73%

92% winner backs underdog

A highly profitable 92% winner joined a 3-wallet one-sided cluster buying Brandon Nakashima, though the market has since moved sharply against them to 0%.

One bettor in this cluster wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $802K lifetime.
Three wallets all backed the same underdog side with $7.9K total, including one sell of the favorite that converts to buying Brandon.
Two wallets have long cross-market histories, with 88% and 92% win rates across dozens of events.

$7,885 on Brandon Nakashima

75% win-rate serial trader

Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Felix Auger-Aliassime at 78¢.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $402K lifetime.
They have traded across 486 events with over $2.0M in tracked volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 78¢ follows a 5-point move toward Felix, showing they are still willing to buy after momentum.

$2,570 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly active, profitable sports bettor with a 31k-bet history bought Felix Auger-Aliassime, though the position is modest and currently slightly underwater.

This bettor has won 69% of over 31,000 resolved bets and is up about $264,000 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 412 events with more than $1.7M in tracked volume.
The bet backs Felix at 79¢, implying confidence in the favorite despite a liquid market.

$2,122 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 69%

Early underdog steam

Pre-match tennis money is moving sharply toward Nakashima, with this bettor entering early at 26¢ before the market repriced to 44¢ despite a mixed wallet record.

This bettor bought Nakashima at 26¢ before the market moved to 44¢.
The market saw a 119x volume spike ahead of the match, suggesting broad pre-event interest.
This wallet is profitable overall, but its 34% win record makes the trader less proven.

$1,589 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 34%

Profitable serial bettor backing underdog

Profitable high-volume bettor bought Nakashima amid a major pre-match volume spike and same-direction flow from three wallets.

This bettor has a long track record: 767 resolved bets and $75,933 in lifetime profit.
Three wallets all bought Brandon Nakashima, totaling $6,319 in same-direction flow.
Market activity spiked 100x above normal, suggesting fresh pre-match conviction.

$3,000 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 59%