Part of: Elon Musk # tweets August 8 - August 10, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,490.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets
Notable Trades
18-wallet funded No cluster
An 18-wallet funded cluster backed No with a sizable position, though the trader's moderate track record and already-settled-looking market reduce copyability.
- Eighteen wallets sharing a funder have collectively positioned on No, a strong coordinated signal.
- This wallet has 274 resolved trades and is up $44,463, although its 64% win rate is only moderately compelling.
- No was bought at 83¢ but now displays at 100%, so the original entry appears to be gone.
$2,490 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
