Part of: US Open, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Liam Draxl

US Open, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Liam Draxl

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $42,429.

Notable Trades

Serial 78% winner adds conviction

A serial cross-market bettor with a 78% win rate added to an existing position amid a 47.7x volume spike and sharp price move.

This bettor wins 78% of trades across 74 resolved markets and is up $13,755.
The $1,750 purchase adds to an existing Nicolas Mejia position, signaling continued conviction.
Trading activity surged to 47.7 times its historical average while Mejia’s price jumped nearly 29%.

$1,750 on Nicolas Mejia | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp bettor scales into Mejia

A proven bettor with 81% wins and a meaningful edge added nearly $3,000 to an existing Mejia position amid a sharp volume surge and 29% price move.

This bettor has won 81% of 741 resolved trades and is up $42,196 overall.
They added nearly $3,000 to an existing Nicolas Mejia position as market volume spiked 47.7x and Mejia's price surged 29%.
The trade was made at 77¢, implying the bettor valued Mejia substantially above the current 74% market price.

$2,945 on Nicolas Mejia | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor pivots toward Draxl

A large one-sided move toward Liam Draxl combines a 133x volume spike with participation from a highly profitable bettor, though much of the sharp wallet's activity appears to be profit-taking from an older Mejia position.

A bettor with a 95% win rate across 355 resolved trades sold a large Nicolas Mejia position, equivalent to buying Liam Draxl.
Four wallets put $31,686 toward Liam Draxl as volume ran 133.6 times its historical average.
The move drove Liam Draxl up roughly 22 percentage points, although several participating wallets have weak or negative track records.

$31,686 on Liam Draxl

95% win-rate tennis bettor

A highly proven tennis bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,250 buy despite the outcome later falling to 34%.

This bettor has won 334 of 351 resolved positions and is up $266,364 lifetime.
Their 44% average entry price versus a 95% win rate indicates a substantial long-term edge.
They bought Nicolas Mejia at 49¢; the price has since fallen to 34¢, creating a potentially better entry but also showing the market moved against them.

$1,250 on Nicolas Mejia | Wallet win rate: 95%

99% win-rate bettor backs Mejia

A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge is making a fresh $2,550 purchase of Nicolas Mejia at even-money odds.

This bettor has won 99% of 2,062 resolved positions and is up $17.7 million lifetime.
The wallet is buying Nicolas Mejia at 51¢ while the market is priced nearly evenly, implying strong conviction in a meaningful edge.
The $2,550 position is a fresh directional bet in a liquid market, not routine position management.

$2,550 on Nicolas Mejia | Wallet win rate: 99%

Proven serial bettor backs Mejia

A highly experienced serial trader with 98,420 resolved bets and a modest positive edge made a sizable fresh bet on Nicolas Mejia in a relatively quiet tennis market.

This bettor has won 70% of 98,420 resolved bets and is up $645,932 lifetime.
The $2,248 position represents about 30% of the market's 24-hour volume, signaling meaningful conviction in a quiet match market.
Nicolas Mejia was bought at 51¢, suggesting the trader sees value above the market's 50% starting odds.

$2,248 on Nicolas Mejia | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

0xd607...842a — Outcome 76484362, $14,903 (87% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 76484362, $8,791 (64% win rate)
0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 76484362, $5,000 (99% win rate)
0x0a92...6b00 — Outcome 76484362, $3,834 (82% win rate)
0xc2c8...142b — Outcome 76484362, $2,829 (59% win rate)
0xf12f...b30f — Outcome 76484362, $2,551 (95% win rate)
0xab9d...cf12 — Outcome 76484362, $2,303 (81% win rate)
0x2ed1...caa2 — Outcome 76484362, $1,666 (86% win rate)
0x767a...8ac5 — Outcome 76484362, $1,027 (59% win rate)
0xf148...0b4f — Outcome 76484362, $960 (74% win rate)

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US Open, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Liam Draxl

ResolvedUS Open, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Liam Draxl$42,429 tracked6 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Mejia and Liam Draxl in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Mejia' if Nicolas Mejia advances against Liam Draxl. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Nicolas Mejia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Liam Draxl”

102¢

75¢

49¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction