Part of: Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?
17 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,020,023.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL
Notable Trades
New whale piling into Yes
A 2-day-old wallet has repeatedly deployed very large size and just bought $315k of Arsenal Yes into a major pre-match volume surge, signaling strong conviction despite no track record yet.
- A 2-day-old wallet just bought $315k on Arsenal and has already triggered 17 large-bet alerts totaling $2.19M
- The market is seeing a 167.8x volume spike, and the price has already jumped 15 points in a day
- Buying at 81-82¢ is a high-conviction bet that Arsenal wins at roughly 4-to-1 implied odds
$315,498 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
New whale piling into Yes
A 2-day-old wallet has repeatedly deployed very large size and just bought $657k of Arsenal into a major pre-match volume surge, signaling strong fresh conviction despite no track record yet.
- A 2-day-old wallet just bought $657k of Arsenal Yes and has already triggered 16 large-bet alerts totaling $2.19M
- The market saw a 108x volume spike, and this buyer entered at 80-82¢ as odds jumped 15 points in a day
- This is a fresh position in a sports market with real liquidity, suggesting concentrated conviction rather than routine rebalancing
$657,008 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
New whale piling into Yes
A 2-day-old wallet that has already made 14 large flagged bets just deployed $342k into Arsenal Yes during a major pre-match volume surge, a strong fresh-conviction signal even without resolved history.
- A 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 14 large-bet alerts and just put $342k on Arsenal to win
- This is fresh conviction, not profit-taking, and the market is seeing a 60x volume spike versus its usual activity
- Buying at 80-81¢ in a liquid match market suggests this bettor is comfortable making a very large high-confidence bet
$341,511 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable cross-market sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports trader is buying Arsenal effectively at 81¢ into a major pre-match volume surge, adding a credible momentum signal despite only moderate standalone edge.
- This bettor has 1,001 resolved bets, a 59% win rate, and is up $137.9k lifetime.
- The trade was a sell of No at 19¢, which is effectively buying Arsenal Yes at 81¢.
- This market's volume is running 60x above normal and price is up 14 points in a day.
$4,892 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
New whale hammering Yes
A 2-day-old wallet repeatedly deployed very large size into Arsenal Yes minutes before resolution at 71¢, riding a huge pre-event volume surge and now sitting on a quick mark-to-market gain as odds moved to 84¢.
- A 2-day-old wallet put $713k into Arsenal Yes in 4 buys, including a single $633k order.
- The bets landed 5 minutes before resolution at 71¢, and the market is now 84¢ after a massive volume surge.
- This wallet has already been flagged 13 times for large bets, suggesting a repeat high-conviction bettor rather than a one-off trade.
$713,453 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Repeat new-wallet whale
A 2-day-old wallet that has already fired 14 large-bet alerts bought Arsenal at 72¢ just before a massive pre-match volume surge, and the market has since jumped to 84¢.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 14 large-bet alerts, showing unusually aggressive early activity
- They bought Yes at 72¢ and the market is now 84¢, a 12-point move in their favor
- Market volume exploded to 650x normal ahead of the match, suggesting strong one-sided conviction
$1,428 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%
Last-minute live sports buyer
A bettor bought Arsenal Yes less than a minute before resolution at 72¢ just as volume exploded, and the market has already moved to 84¢.
- Bought less than 1 minute before resolution at 72¢, and the market is already up to 84¢
- Market activity spiked 650x versus normal, suggesting fast informed flow into the closing minutes
- This wallet is active and experienced with 282 resolved bets, even if the long-term record is only average
$1,487 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
11-wallet late No cluster
11 wallets piled $72.7k into No within minutes of resolution, including linked wallets, a highly profitable serial last-minute bettor, and several strong historical winners.
- 11 wallets bet the same side for $72.7k, and 2 wallet pairs are linked by funding source
- One bettor has a pattern of last-minute bets and is up $2.25M, with this trade placed about 24 seconds before resolution
- Several wallets have strong records, including one at 89% wins and another at 100% on 22 resolved bets, buying No around 29¢
$72,683 on No
New whale near resolution
A 2-day-old wallet put nearly $1M into Arsenal minutes before resolution during a massive volume surge, signaling unusually strong conviction despite no resolved track record yet.
- A 2-day-old wallet bought $950k of Arsenal, including a single $633k order, showing outsized conviction.
- Most of the buying came 5-20 minutes before resolution, when late information in live sports can matter most.
- The market saw a 785x volume spike and Arsenal was still bought around 70-71¢, implying the bettor saw meaningful edge even after the price had moved up.
$950,404 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
6-wallet anti-favorite cluster
Six wallets piled into No around 30¢ in a fast one-sided cluster, led by a repeat new wallet already up $4.8k, making this coordinated anti-favorite flow worth watching despite mixed long-term records across the group.
- Six wallets all bet No within minutes, putting $12.2k against a 70% favorite at roughly 30¢.
- One repeat new wallet has already triggered 13 times, has 6 positions open, and is up $4.8k so far.
- Market activity is surging with a 442x volume spike, which suggests this move is part of a broader pre-match repricing.
$12,225 on No
Top Holders
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 30461642, $515,949 (53% win rate)
- 0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 30461642, $225,000 (75% win rate)
- 0xe26c...88cf — Outcome 30461642, $188,680 (100% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 30461642, $76,702 (65% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 30461642, $68,900 (73% win rate)
- 0xd776...ffeb — Outcome 30461642, $68,171 (90% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 30461642, $59,036 (64% win rate)
- 0xea2b...1fc6 — Outcome 30461642, $30,000 (64% win rate)
- 0xc974...b33b — Outcome 30461642, $29,000 (86% win rate)
- 0xd267...9dc6 — Outcome 30461642, $28,614 (69% win rate)
Related Theses
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