What needs to happen for the Ethereum $800 market to resolve Yes?

The market resolves Yes if any Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle between Nov. 24, 2025 at 14:00 ET and Dec. 31, 2026 at 23:59 ET has a final Low price of $800 or lower.

What is the resolution source for this ETH prediction market?

Resolution is based on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data, specifically the final Low price shown for each one-minute candle.

When does this Ethereum $800 prediction market resolve?

If ETH hits $800 or lower during the market window, it can resolve immediately to Yes. If it never reaches that level, it resolves No after Dec. 31, 2026, with the listed resolution time on Jan. 1, 2027 UTC.

What are smart money traders doing in this market?

PolySpotter tracks $1,738 in smart money activity and 1 signal for this market. Recent alerts indicate high-win-rate traders are backing No, meaning they are fading the possibility of ETH dropping to $800 by the deadline.

Does ETH need to close below $800 for this market to resolve Yes?

No. The market uses the one-minute candle Low, not the close. A single qualifying Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute Low at or below $800 is enough for a Yes resolution.

Part of: What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

This Polymarket asks whether Ethereum will dip to $800 or lower on any Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle between Nov. 24, 2025 and Dec. 31, 2026. It resolves Yes if the Binance 1-minute “Low” price reaches $800 or below; otherwise it resolves No after the deadline. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,738 in smart money activity across 1 signal, with recent alerts highlighting strong traders backing No and fading an ETH crash.

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,292.

Categories: Ethereum, Crypto Prices, Hit Price, Crypto, Yearly

Notable Trades

92% winner crypto thesis

Sharp wallet with a 92% resolved win rate and +$74k P&L is adding to a larger cross-market Ethereum thesis favoring No.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $74,118 lifetime.
They have positioned across 3 related markets with $76,556 total exposure.
Buying No at 84¢ suggests confidence Ethereum will not hit $800 before the deadline.

$1,738 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

92% winner backs NO

A high-win-rate wallet with $69.8k profit is adding a $3.4k NO bet in a quiet ETH downside market as part of a larger cross-market crypto thesis.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $69,754 lifetime.
They have $66,110 positioned across 3 related ETH markets, suggesting a broader crypto thesis.
This $3,382 bet was over 6x recent market activity, a meaningful size in a quiet order book.

$3,382 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

91% winner fading ETH crash

A 91% winning wallet with $51.2k across related ETH markets bought No on a quiet market, suggesting a broader crypto-price thesis rather than a one-off trade.

This bettor has won 21 of 23 resolved bets and is up $62.6k lifetime.
They have $51.2k across 3 related ETH markets, suggesting a broader view on ETH avoiding extreme downside.
This $2.1k buy was 61% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet book.

$2,088 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial crypto trader

A highly active serial cross-market trader with a long profitable record is buying No on an ETH crash market, though the position size is modest.

This bettor has won 71% of 13,631 resolved bets and is up $136K lifetime.
They have traded across 217 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
Buying No at 87¢ means they are fading an ETH drop to $800 before the end of 2026.

$1,316 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

88% winner across 3 markets

A profitable wallet with an 88% win rate is expressing the same thesis across three related ETH dip markets, adding a small but credible directional signal on a meaningful crypto market.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $28.4k overall.
They have put about $40k across 3 related ETH dip markets, showing a consistent thesis instead of a one-off bet.
They bought No at 88¢, a high-confidence view that ETH stays above $800 through 2026.

$1,356 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

88% winner on ETH downside

A high-win-rate wallet is building a sizable cross-market thesis on ETH downside event markets, adding nearly $3.8k to No here at 86-88¢.

This bettor wins 88% of their resolved trades and is up $28.4k lifetime.
They placed $42.4k across 3 related markets in the same event, pointing to a broader ETH thesis.
They kept buying No from 86¢ to 88¢, showing conviction that an ETH crash to $800 is still unlikely.

$3,769 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

88% winner backs No

A wallet with an 88% win rate is expressing a repeated cross-market ETH downside view by buying No around 86-87¢, a strong signal despite the modest ticket size.

This bettor wins 88% of their resolved trades and is up $28k overall.
They have bet $41k across 3 related ETH markets, showing a broader event view rather than a one-off trade.
Buying No at 86-87¢ means backing a low chance of ETH hitting $800 by year-end 2026, in line with the market's current 14% Yes odds.

$2,413 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

88% winner, cross-market thesis

A high-win-rate wallet with a strong cross-market thesis is buying No on multiple ETH dip thresholds, suggesting informed conviction rather than a one-off trade.

This bettor wins 88% of their resolved trades and is up $28.4k overall.
They placed nearly $39.9k across 3 related ETH dip markets, so this looks like a coordinated view not a single bet.
Buying No at 86¢ means they see sub-$800 ETH by end of 2026 as less likely than the market implies.

$1,229 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%