Part of: World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,376.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, world cup, FIFA World Cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Team Props, Tournament Futures

Notable Trades

90% winner buying upside

Surface due to sharp-wallet override: a 90% winning, profitable bettor made a $4.1k Yes-equivalent bet in a relatively thin market.

  • This bettor has won 90% of resolved bets and is up $6.4k lifetime.
  • The trade is effectively buying Yes at 24¢, showing conviction that Norway’s semifinal odds are underpriced.
  • The $4.1k bet was about 74% of recent 24h volume, and the market is already up 6 points today.

$4,076 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Perfect-record bettor on quiet market

A profitable 11-0 bettor made a $4.3k No buy that dwarfs recent volume on a quiet long-dated World Cup market.

  • This bettor has won 11 of 11 resolved trades and is up about $5.9k lifetime.
  • The $4.3k No buy was over 11x the market’s recent 24h volume, showing unusually strong conviction.
  • Entry at 86¢ is a conservative favorite bet, but the wallet’s record makes it worth tracking.

$4,300 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 62948040, $17,370 (68% win rate)
  2. 0x15a6...bf5d Outcome 62948040, $5,936 (47% win rate)
  3. 0x1e3f...e00b Outcome 62948040, $2,396 (46% win rate)
  4. 0x2d1b...5adb Outcome 62948040, $2,337
  5. 0xabfa...ce38 Outcome 62948040, $2,299
  6. 0x1a2f...647a Outcome 62948040, $1,704 (67% win rate)
  7. 0x12d4...453b Outcome 62948040, $1,515 (93% win rate)
  8. 0xab54...ab69 Outcome 62948040, $1,500
  9. 0xdf9e...c48f Outcome 62948040, $1,500
  10. 0x3d18...b702 Outcome 62948040, $1,470

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals$8,376 tracked2 signalsSportsSoccerworld cupFIFA World Cup2026 FIFA World CupTeam PropsTournament Futures

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

40d ago

$4,076 on Yes at 24¢

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

59d ago

$4,300 on No at 86¢