Part of: World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This prediction market tracks whether Norway will reach the semifinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. It resolves “Yes” if Norway makes the semifinal round, and “No” if they are eliminated earlier or if the tournament timing conditions are not met by July 25, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $4,300 in smart money activity on this market, including 1 recent signal from a perfect-record bettor.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,300.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, world cup, FIFA World Cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Perfect-record bettor on quiet market

A profitable 11-0 bettor made a $4.3k No buy that dwarfs recent volume on a quiet long-dated World Cup market.

  • This bettor has won 11 of 11 resolved trades and is up about $5.9k lifetime.
  • The $4.3k No buy was over 11x the market’s recent 24h volume, showing unusually strong conviction.
  • Entry at 86¢ is a conservative favorite bet, but the wallet’s record makes it worth tracking.

$4,300 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x15a6...bf5d Yes, $5,936 (46% win rate)
  2. 0xe0a9...1652 No, $5,358 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x2d1b...5adb Yes, $2,337
  4. 0xb894...4825 No, $1,466
  5. 0x37a5...4512 Yes, $1,031
  6. 0x5cd5...ac33 No, $934 (93% win rate)
  7. 0xfb64...5e23 No, $628 (82% win rate)
  8. 0x74f1...16a8 No, $493 (73% win rate)
  9. 0x588d...099a No, $410 (25% win rate)
  10. 0xf4c4...a006 Yes, $313

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

31dWorld Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals$4,300 tracked1 signalSportsSoccerworld cupFIFA World Cup2026 FIFA World Cup
Yes
15¢
No
85¢

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
87¢
83¢
78¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

2h ago

$4,300 on No at 86¢

86¢85¢1¢