Part of: Elon Musk # tweets June 26 - July 3, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,033.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

9-wallet funded cluster

A known 9-wallet funded cluster is buying No on a thin Elon tweet-count market, backed by a seasoned wallet with positive lifetime P&L.

  • Nine wallets tied to the same funder have been active together, suggesting one coordinated bettor behind the flow.
  • The active wallet has 1,970 resolved trades and is up about $39.8K lifetime.
  • They bought No at 79¢ in a low-volume market, implying confidence this exact tweet range misses.

$1,033 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 10928433, $219,233
  2. 0x02b4...7092 Outcome 10566784, $20,000
  3. 0xe5bd...339a Outcome 10566784, $7,914
  4. 0x206b...7d6a Outcome 10566784, $7,320
  5. 0xfd5c...6d2a Outcome 10566784, $6,754 (34% win rate)
  6. 0x53bd...5d30 Outcome 10566784, $5,977
  7. 0xe243...af59 Outcome 10566784, $5,495
  8. 0x2ef2...7f72 Outcome 10566784, $5,000 (39% win rate)
  9. 0x35f3...cfd0 Outcome 10566784, $4,542
  10. 0x01b8...82c1 Outcome 10566784, $4,477 (65% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Musk won't post 180-219 tweets

Covers 2 related markets

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets June 26 - July 3, 2026?$1,033 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet Markets

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 26 12:00 PM ET to July 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

27d ago

$1,033 on No at 79¢

Related Theses