Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

27 smart money signals detected, totaling $195,223.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable sharp in 4-wallet pile-in

A highly active profitable bettor with a large sample bought PARIVISION at 49¢ alongside coordinated same-side flow before the market collapsed, making this a strong trade to study even though it has already moved to resolution.

  • This bettor has 864 resolved bets, wins 67% of them, and is up about $538k lifetime
  • Four wallets all bought PARIVISION together, and the price moved 44 points on that side
  • They got in at 49¢ before PARIVISION went to 0¢, showing strong directional conviction and timing

$1,028 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 67%

4-wallet esports pile-in

A coordinated 4-wallet buy into PARIVISION helped drive a huge 44-point move in a major esports market, and this wallet has a meaningful cross-market track record despite only moderate win rate.

  • Four wallets all bought PARIVISION together, totaling about $4.9k in the same direction.
  • The move pushed PARIVISION about 44 points, showing real conviction rather than routine betting.
  • This wallet has traded 78 related markets across 67 events and is up about $14.8k overall.

$1,753 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 56%

99% win-rate sharp bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 99% win rate bought PARIVISION before a coordinated 11-wallet move and a fast 13-point price jump, suggesting strong information or modeling edge.

  • This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $137k over 514 bets
  • 11 wallets piled into PARIVISION for $24k total, then the price jumped 13 points in about 4 minutes
  • Bought at 55¢ and the market is now 78¢, showing the move was early and well-timed

$1,888 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 99%

81% win-rate sharp joins swarm

A proven sharp wallet with an 81% win rate joined an 11-wallet one-sided push into PARIVISION before a fast 13-point move, making this a strong follow signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 81% of their trades and is up $67k across 54 resolved positions
  • 11 wallets piled into PARIVISION for $24k total, and the price jumped 13 points in about 4 minutes
  • This wallet bought at 55¢ and the market is now 78¢, showing they got in well before the move

$2,466 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 81%

11-wallet esports pile-in

A proven high-volume sports trader joined an 11-wallet one-sided move into PARIVISION, and the selloff in TheMongolz quickly pushed the market much lower.

  • 11 wallets all bet PARIVISION in the same window for $24.2k total
  • This wallet has 733 resolved bets, a 64% win rate, and over $20k profit
  • They sold TheMongolz at 45¢, which converts to buying PARIVISION around 55¢; the market is now 78¢

$3,600 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 64%

94% win-rate bettor buys

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.66M profit bought TheMongolz alongside four other wallets during a one-sided surge into this match market.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $1.66M lifetime across 188 settled positions.
  • Five wallets all bought TheMongolz in the same market, combining for about $23.4k of one-sided flow.
  • The buy came at 46¢ in a liquid match market, suggesting they price TheMongolz above the current odds.

$1,467 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp cluster buying PARIVISION

Ten wallets piled into PARIVISION for $23k in minutes, including several highly profitable cross-market traders and one wallet with a 99% win rate, while the price jumped from roughly 51¢ to 55¢.

  • Ten wallets bought PARIVISION in a few minutes for $23k total, pushing the price up about 13 points.
  • This group includes proven bettors, including one wallet winning 99% of 513 resolved trades and another at 81% over 54 trades.
  • Several wallets have large cross-market histories across this event, suggesting a coordinated thesis rather than a random one-off bet.

$23,032 on PARIVISION

76% win-rate esports sharp

A high-volume sharp sports wallet with a 76% win rate joined a 5-wallet one-sided push into TheMongolz during a strong pre-match volume spike, making this a credible follow signal despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $899k across nearly $19.9M invested
  • Five wallets all bought TheMongolz, putting in about $24.1k total on the same side
  • The trader has bet across 207 related markets over 112 events, which points to a repeatable event-trading edge

$6,123 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 76%

5-wallet CS2 buy cluster

A high-volume serial sports trader with a strong long-term record joined 4 other wallets buying TheMongolz during a clear pre-match volume surge, making this coordinated flow worth following.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 1,024 resolved markets and is up about $627k lifetime
  • Five wallets bought TheMongolz together for about $24k, including a nearly $9.9k buy from this wallet
  • The market saw a 14.2x volume spike before the match, and this trader got in at 46¢

$9,894 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 65%

84% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and $1.37M P&L bought PARIVISION, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the modest ticket size in a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $1.37M lifetime
  • They have bet across 358 markets in 240 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought PARIVISION at 65¢, a clear directional bet from a proven winner

$1,137 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdd92...6b2a Outcome 86464161, $140,177 (45% win rate)
  2. 0x5d58...9a15 Outcome 86464161, $81,729 (92% win rate)
  3. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 86464161, $71,925 (66% win rate)
  4. 0x4d6e...5cfd Outcome 86464161, $62,000
  5. 0x37e4...c991 Outcome 86464161, $51,730 (74% win rate)
  6. 0x21ec...5348 Outcome 86464161, $42,513 (57% win rate)
  7. 0x153a...9d6d Outcome 86464161, $24,028 (57% win rate)
  8. 0xf394...cdb1 Outcome 86464161, $19,519 (48% win rate)
  9. 0xf988...d63b Outcome 86464161, $16,960 (84% win rate)
  10. 0x78a2...d0a5 Outcome 86464161, $14,997 (44% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

Resolved$195,223 tracked27 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between TheMongolz and PARIVISION in the PGL Bucharest Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 9 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against PARIVISION. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against TheMongolz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “TheMongolz
102¢
64¢
26¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$1,028 on PARIVISION at 49¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$1,753 on PARIVISION at 66¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$1,888 on PARIVISION at 55¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$2,466 on PARIVISION at 55¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$3,600 on PARIVISION at 55¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$1,467 on TheMongolz at 46¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$23,032 on PARIVISION at 54¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$6,123 on TheMongolz at 47¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$9,894 on TheMongolz at 46¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$1,137 on PARIVISION at 65¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$7,996 on PARIVISION at 72¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$2,582 on PARIVISION at 65¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$17,245 on TheMongolz at 48¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$2,502 on TheMongolz at 67¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$1,557 on TheMongolz at 44¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$4,424 on PARIVISION at 50¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$2,060 on TheMongolz at 51¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$1,658 on TheMongolz at 51¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$29,559 on TheMongolz at 51¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$20,719 on TheMongolz at 73¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$9,469 on PARIVISION at 53¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$5,302 on TheMongolz at 47¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$22,528 on PARIVISION at 55¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

1d ago

$4,924 on TheMongolz at 49¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

2d ago

$5,125 on PARIVISION at 52¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

2d ago

$1,000 on PARIVISION at 50¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

2d ago

$4,186 on PARIVISION at 50¢

Related Theses