Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 15 - May 22, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Elon Musk will make between 100 and 119 qualifying X posts from May 15 at 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. It counts main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, while replies generally do not count unless they appear on the main feed and are captured by the tracker. The market resolves on May 22, 2026, with $1,463 in smart money tracked and 1 recent smart money signal, including a 6-wallet funded cluster alert.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,463.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
6-wallet funded cluster
A known 6-wallet funded cluster is buying No on a relatively small Elon tweet-count market, but the individual wallet's long history is only modestly profitable and mostly in heavy favorites.
- Six wallets sharing the same funder have been active across prior runs and are aligned on this side.
- This wallet has 1,404 resolved trades and is up $4.7K lifetime, though many wins came from high-priced favorites.
- The $1.5K buy is meaningful versus the market’s $8.4K daily volume, adding conviction on a quiet market.
$1,463 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $80,937
- 0xce1e...851f — Yes, $38,000
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $29,000
- 0x1e1a...7690 — No, $2,911 (63% win rate)
- 0x6f44...ecfc — Yes, $2,337
- 0x54d7...c0bf — Yes, $1,729
- 0x5113...f0ba — Yes, $1,500
- 0x15ce...d47e — Yes, $1,500
- 0x3690...e16f — Yes, $1,241
- 0xaed9...f0d7 — Yes, $1,008
