Part of: Portugal vs. Norway
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 4, 2026 If Portugal wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,450,762.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UEFA Nations League, UNL Matchday
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor adds to Portugal position
A proven bettor with an 86% win rate and strong historical edge added to a sizable existing Portugal position amid a sharp volume spike.
- This bettor has won 57 of 66 resolved positions and is up $86,883.
- They added $4,657 to an existing $25,271 Yes position as market volume spiked 21.6× its historical average.
- The Yes entry was 58¢, close to the current 57% odds.
$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
New whale scaling into Portugal Yes
A repeat new-wallet whale added roughly $702K to an existing $1.19M Portugal position amid an extreme volume spike, though its perfect record is based on only three resolved bets.
- Added about $702K to an existing Yes position already worth roughly $1.19M.
- The market saw a reported 1009× volume spike, with the bettor’s buys clustered around 58–60¢.
- The wallet reports $2.98M in profit, but its 100% record covers just three resolved bets.
$702,668 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Whale-led Portugal YES surge
A roughly $728K YES surge dwarfs recent market volume, led by a repeat large bettor and joined by a proven 86%-win-rate trader.
- Five wallets bought YES for about $728K, more than four times the market’s reported 24-hour volume; one wallet accounts for most of the flow.
- A participating bettor has an 86% win rate across 66 resolved positions and is up about $86.9K.
- The main wallet is a repeat large bettor with reported lifetime P&L of about $2.98M, though its resolved sample is only three positions.
$727,642 on Yes
Sharp bettor adds to Portugal position
A proven bettor with an 86% win rate and strong historical edge added to a sizable existing Portugal position amid a sharp volume spike.
- This bettor has won 57 of 66 resolved positions and is up $86,883.
- They added $4,657 to an existing $25,271 Yes position as market volume spiked 21.6× its historical average.
- The Yes entry was 58¢, close to the current 57% odds.
$4,657 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable serial bettor buys Portugal
A highly experienced bettor with a strong profitable track record bought Portugal at 58¢ amid a 19.1× volume spike.
- This bettor has won 82% of 1,016 resolved trades and is up $292,770.
- They bought Portugal at 58¢ as market volume surged to 19.1× its historical average.
- The market is liquid, with a tight 1¢ spread and over $392,000 in liquidity.
$1,740 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
99% winner backs Portugal No
A highly profitable serial trader with a 99% win rate and strong historical edge placed a $5,142 bet on Portugal not to win.
- This bettor has won 95 of 96 resolved positions and earned $5.9M in profit.
- They put $5,142 on Portugal not to win, at 42¢.
- The wallet has traded across 132 events, with a 99% reported win rate.
$5,142 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%
92%-win bettor leads three-wallet No cluster
Three wallets bought No together, including a bettor with a 92% win rate and a substantial edge over average entry odds.
- One bettor has won 92% of 131 resolved positions, with a reported 39-point edge over average odds.
- Three wallets bought No at 41¢, totaling about $3,753.
- No is near 42¢ currently, so the cluster entered close to the market price.
$3,753 on No
95% winner adding to position
A proven bettor with 42 wins in 44 resolved positions and $9,549 profit is adding $2,160 to an existing Portugal Yes position.
- This bettor has won 42 of 44 resolved bets and is up $9,549 on $50,908 invested.
- They added $2,160 to an existing Portugal Yes position at 60¢, reinforcing their conviction.
$2,160 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
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