Part of: WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,472.

Categories: Finance, Commodities, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Oil, Rewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

88% serial sharp buying Up

A highly proven 88% winner with $210k lifetime profit is effectively buying Up on WTI after heavy cross-market activity and a sharp recent move.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $210k lifetime.
  • They are a major cross-market trader, with $5.1M deployed across 160 events.
  • Selling Down at 77¢ is equivalent to buying Up at 23¢, a high-upside contrarian entry.

$1,611 on Up | Wallet win rate: 87%

95% serial cross-market trader

A high-frequency cross-market trader with a 95% resolved hit rate bought Down as the market rapidly repriced toward that outcome.

  • This bettor has won 1,159 of 1,217 resolved bets across many markets.
  • They bought Down at 77¢ while the market was rapidly moving that way, with Down now around 78¢.
  • The trade came during a sharp repricing: Down jumped about 25 points in four minutes.

$3,000 on Down | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable serial macro trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 62% record over 265 resolved bets bought WTI Up at 54¢, though the position size is modest.

  • This bettor has won 62% of 265 resolved bets and is up $113k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 29 events and 43 markets, suggesting a repeatable macro strategy.
  • Entry at 54¢ is slightly below the current 56% market price.

$1,022 on Up | Wallet win rate: 62%

88% winner buying oil Down

A highly proven cross-market trader with an 88% resolved-bet win rate bought WTI Down at 23¢, and the market has already moved to 30¢.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $209k lifetime.
  • They bought Down at 23¢, and the market has already moved to 30¢.
  • The bet was large for this market, equal to about 65% of recent volume.

$2,839 on Down | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1a1a...f6d8 Outcome 76265908, $2,019
  2. 0x629b...b236 Outcome 76265908, $850
  3. 0xf60e...936d Outcome 76265908, $841
  4. 0xfb59...83f9 Outcome 76265908, $588 (72% win rate)
  5. 0xcbbc...b5e1 Outcome 76265908, $500
  6. 0xe286...7735 Outcome 76265908, $500
  7. 0x3d4a...4256 Outcome 76265908, $274
  8. 0x1bc2...e51b Outcome 76265908, $253
  9. 0x3c36...2646 Outcome 76265908, $153
  10. 0x204b...8ca3 Outcome 76265908, $142

Related Theses

WTI stays below $110

Covers 7 related markets

Covers 10 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Natural gas swings wildly in May

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?

ResolvedWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$8,472 tracked4 signalsFinanceCommoditiesDailyUp or DownDaily-CloseHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceOilRewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on May 18, 2026, is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on May 18, 2026, is lower than the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50. For the purposes of this market, trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading hours schedule for the underlying market. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. Both closing prices will reference the same underlying contract, specifically the contract that is considered the Active Month at the end of the trading session on the specified date. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official settlement price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candles for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Price History — “Up
92¢
57¢
22¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?

2d ago

$1,611 on Up at 23¢

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?

2d ago

$3,000 on Down at 77¢

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?

2d ago

$1,022 on Up at 54¢

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?

2d ago

$2,839 on Down at 23¢

Related Theses