Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,237.

Categories: Soccer, Sports, world cup, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 761-bet history is making a large No bet that accounts for most of recent volume on a quiet World Cup group market.

This bettor has won 63% of 761 resolved bets and is up $76.7K lifetime.
The $4.9K No buy is large for this market, equal to about 69% of recent 24h volume.
They have traded across 35 events, suggesting this is part of a repeat sports-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$4,860 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Elite 99% cross-market bettor

Elite proven bettor with a 99% resolved win rate and $327k lifetime profit bought No on Paraguay winning Group D, backed by a serial cross-market pattern.

This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $327,717 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 35 events with a 99% win rate.
The bet is against Paraguay winning the group at 81¢, in a moderately quiet World Cup market.

$1,377 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 77720844, $170,766
0xda3a...381f — Outcome 79760491, $20,497 (53% win rate)
0x33ab...9523 — Outcome 79760491, $12,691
0x1b79...fe82 — Outcome 79760491, $4,000
0x6b90...2194 — Outcome 79760491, $3,848 (49% win rate)
0xe542...0a37 — Outcome 79760491, $3,149 (62% win rate)
0x21ff...5e2a — Outcome 79760491, $2,454 (75% win rate)
0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 79760491, $2,368 (69% win rate)
0xc7bb...2753 — Outcome 79760491, $2,156
0x5d18...4972 — Outcome 79760491, $2,000 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

FlyQuest beats THUNDER dOWNUNDER

Covers 1 related market

Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup Group D Winner$6,237 tracked2 signalsSoccerSportsworld cupFIFA World Cup

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.