Yes has surged 48 points in the last day with $3.3M traded in 24 hours. This trade joined a 78x volume spike and bought Yes at 87¢, now around 90¢. The bettor is active across many events but has only a modest 60% record and slightly negative lifetime profit.

Part of: Paraguay vs. Australia

Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?

21 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,278,839.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games

Notable Trades

Event-wide momentum buyer

High-volume event-wide positioning and an 18-point move toward Yes make this notable despite the wallet’s weak long-term P&L.

Yes drew a 78.5x volume spike and jumped 18 points as this bettor bought in.
The wallet has $53.8K positioned across 3 markets in the same event, suggesting a broader game thesis.
Entry around 82¢ is already up to 90¢, with the market still showing tight 90–91¢ pricing.

$12,208 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%

Serial trader follows draw surge

Large $72k Yes buy aligns with a sharp market-wide move and volume spike, though the wallet's high hit rate comes with negative lifetime P&L.

This bettor has won 84% of 770 resolved bets and is active across 31 events.
A $72k buy followed a major move, with Yes up 18 points in-window and 48 points over the day.
Market volume spiked 78x versus its historical average, suggesting broad late positioning on Yes.

$72,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Late draw momentum

A major late volume surge and 18-point move toward Yes suggest the market has repriced sharply, though the individual wallet has only a modest record.

Yes has surged 48 points in the last day with $3.3M traded in 24 hours.
This trade joined a 78x volume spike and bought Yes at 87¢, now around 90¢.
The bettor is active across many events but has only a modest 60% record and slightly negative lifetime profit.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%

High-hit bettor riding draw surge

Surface: a high-hit-rate sports wallet bought into a sharp Yes move backed by a major volume spike, though lifetime P&L is roughly flat.

This bettor has won 83% of 90 resolved bets, showing a strong hit rate on past markets.
Yes has surged 48 points in the last day with a 78x volume spike, confirming heavy market-wide momentum.
Entry at 86¢ is already up to 90¢, implying the trade is following a late decisive move.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Momentum bettor buying Yes

A high-win-rate sports bettor bought Yes before an 18-point move amid a major volume spike, though their lifetime P&L is negative so this is more momentum than proven edge.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets, though they are down $6.8K lifetime.
Yes has surged 18 points after a 78x volume spike on this match market.
Their 82¢ entry is already in profit with the market now around 90¢.

$4,920 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

81% winner joins Yes wave

Sharp 81% lifetime winner bought Yes alongside heavy one-sided market flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $393k lifetime.
12 wallets have all bought Yes, totaling about $872k in the same direction.
Market volume spiked 326x and Yes has already moved 36 points in the last day.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor joins $894K Yes wave

Sharp 81% lifetime winner bought Yes alongside a massive 8-wallet one-sided push and a 266x pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $39K lifetime.
8 wallets have piled into the same Yes side for about $894K total.
Market volume spiked 266x and Yes has moved up 28 points in the last day.

$1,380 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

New whale in 8-wallet surge

A new wallet put $751k on Yes as part of an 8-wallet one-sided surge, driving major pre-event volume and price momentum.

A 15-day-old wallet bought $751k of Yes, adding repeatedly in a tight 5-minute burst.
8 wallets are all betting the same way, with $894k total on Yes.
Market volume spiked 266x and Yes has moved up 28 points in 24 hours.

$751,127 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

8-wallet draw surge

Surface: a major one-sided surge has 8 wallets buying Yes for nearly $900k, with huge pre-event volume and strong price momentum, plus this wallet has a very high resolved-bet hit rate despite negative lifetime P&L.

8 wallets are all buying the draw, totaling $894k on the same side.
Volume is 266x above normal and Yes has moved from about 42¢ to 70¢ in the last day.
This bettor has won 29 of 30 resolved bets, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Four-wallet momentum cluster

A four-wallet cluster bought $28k of Yes into a strong pre-event volume spike and a sharp move higher on the draw outcome.

Four wallets bought the same outcome for $28k as the draw price moved from around 51–53¢ to 57¢.
This market is seeing heavy momentum, with volume running 12x normal and Yes up 15 points in the past day.
One participating bettor has a 60% win record across 3,180 resolved bets and is up $276k lifetime.

$96,147 on Yes

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 39257170, $175,073
0xf031...c80c — Outcome 39257170, $130,604 (91% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 39257170, $106,887 (63% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 39257170, $67,297
0xfaa2...e80a — Outcome 39257170, $41,629 (76% win rate)
0xa38a...821d — Outcome 39257170, $23,947 (56% win rate)
0x514b...5fa9 — Outcome 39257170, $19,500 (55% win rate)
0xc660...bd28 — Outcome 39257170, $19,230 (72% win rate)
0x1518...2652 — Outcome 39257170, $8,340 (85% win rate)
0x7236...ea53 — Outcome 39257170, $8,000 (88% win rate)

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Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?

ResolvedParaguay vs. Australia$1,278,839 tracked21 signalsSportsSoccerFIFA World CupGames

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 25, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Yes”