Part of: MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
This Polymarket asks whether MegaETH's token will have a fully diluted valuation above $600 million exactly 24 hours after launch. The market resolves based on the most liquid available price source, and if MegaETH does not launch a token by June 30, 2026, it resolves under the market rules by the listed resolution date of July 1, 2026. Traders use this market to price expectations around MegaETH token launch valuation and early post-launch demand.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,278.
Categories: Airdrops, Featured, Crypto, MegaETH, Pre-Market, fdv
Notable Trades
82% winner fading hype
A proven profitable wallet with an 82% win rate is expressing a cross-market thesis across three related MegaETH markets, and this sell of Yes converts into a clear buy on No at 10¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $50.8k overall
- They have placed $50.1k across 3 related MegaETH markets, which suggests a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade
- Selling Yes at 90¢ is equivalent to buying No at 10¢, a cheap way to follow their view if MegaETH launches below this threshold
$1,530 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
82% win-rate serial trader
A profitable high-hit-rate wallet with broad cross-market activity made an $11.2k concentrated buy on Yes at 80¢, taking most of the day's volume in a rising crypto launch market.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up nearly $50k across 39 settled markets
- They put $11.2k into Yes at 80¢, equal to 73% of the market's 24-hour volume
- They trade across many related markets — 48 markets over 25 events — and this market has already moved from 80¢ to 84¢
$11,173 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
82% win-rate event bettor
A profitable wallet with an 82% win rate is making a fresh multi-market MegaETH bet, adding directional conviction behind a market that has already been moving higher.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up nearly $50k lifetime
- They have put $35k across 3 MegaETH-related markets, showing a clear event-wide thesis
- They bought Yes at 78¢ after the market rose 16 points in a day, backing continued strength rather than taking profits
$3,786 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
82% winner pressing thesis
A profitable wallet with an 82% win rate is making a sizable follow-on bet across multiple related MegaETH markets, reinforcing a consistent thesis as the market is already breaking higher.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up nearly $50k overall
- They've put $15.3k across 3 related MegaETH markets, showing a clear repeated view
- They bought at 80¢ after a 16.5-point 1-day move, suggesting they still see upside despite momentum
$3,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
81% win-rate thesis trader
A profitable 81% win-rate wallet is expressing a broader event thesis across three related MegaETH markets, and this trade translates to buying No around 30¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of their resolved trades and is up $34k overall
- They have put $19.3k across 3 related MegaETH markets, pointing to a clear event-level view
- This sale of Yes at 70¢ is equivalent to buying No at 30¢, a cheaper entry against a market priced at 71% Yes
$2,590 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0x6305...9d0b — Outcome 91035745, $140,000
- 0x5c6b...4be6 — Outcome 91035745, $4,844
- 0x7b03...a61d — Outcome 91035745, $3,631
- 0x3e27...c659 — Outcome 91035745, $3,433
- 0xed88...0dfd — Outcome 91035745, $3,253
- 0xb7b3...be6c — Outcome 91035745, $3,000
- 0x5481...6b97 — Outcome 91035745, $2,434
- 0xcaf9...c81b — Outcome 91035745, $2,000 (47% win rate)
- 0x73b6...5db1 — Outcome 91035745, $1,677
- 0x51d7...238c — Outcome 91035745, $1,420
