Part of: MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,278.

Categories: Airdrops, Featured, Crypto, MegaETH, Pre-Market, fdv

Notable Trades

82% winner fading hype

A proven profitable wallet with an 82% win rate is expressing a cross-market thesis across three related MegaETH markets, and this sell of Yes converts into a clear buy on No at 10¢.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $50.8k overall
  • They have placed $50.1k across 3 related MegaETH markets, which suggests a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade
  • Selling Yes at 90¢ is equivalent to buying No at 10¢, a cheap way to follow their view if MegaETH launches below this threshold

$1,530 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

82% win-rate serial trader

A profitable high-hit-rate wallet with broad cross-market activity made an $11.2k concentrated buy on Yes at 80¢, taking most of the day's volume in a rising crypto launch market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up nearly $50k across 39 settled markets
  • They put $11.2k into Yes at 80¢, equal to 73% of the market's 24-hour volume
  • They trade across many related markets — 48 markets over 25 events — and this market has already moved from 80¢ to 84¢

$11,173 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

82% win-rate event bettor

A profitable wallet with an 82% win rate is making a fresh multi-market MegaETH bet, adding directional conviction behind a market that has already been moving higher.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up nearly $50k lifetime
  • They have put $35k across 3 MegaETH-related markets, showing a clear event-wide thesis
  • They bought Yes at 78¢ after the market rose 16 points in a day, backing continued strength rather than taking profits

$3,786 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

82% winner pressing thesis

A profitable wallet with an 82% win rate is making a sizable follow-on bet across multiple related MegaETH markets, reinforcing a consistent thesis as the market is already breaking higher.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up nearly $50k overall
  • They've put $15.3k across 3 related MegaETH markets, showing a clear repeated view
  • They bought at 80¢ after a 16.5-point 1-day move, suggesting they still see upside despite momentum

$3,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

81% win-rate thesis trader

A profitable 81% win-rate wallet is expressing a broader event thesis across three related MegaETH markets, and this trade translates to buying No around 30¢.

  • This bettor wins 81% of their resolved trades and is up $34k overall
  • They have put $19.3k across 3 related MegaETH markets, pointing to a clear event-level view
  • This sale of Yes at 70¢ is equivalent to buying No at 30¢, a cheaper entry against a market priced at 71% Yes

$2,590 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6305...9d0b Outcome 91035745, $140,000 (71% win rate)
  2. 0x5c6b...4be6 Outcome 91035745, $4,844
  3. 0x7b03...a61d Outcome 91035745, $3,631
  4. 0xed88...0dfd Outcome 91035745, $3,253
  5. 0xb7b3...be6c Outcome 91035745, $3,000
  6. 0x5481...6b97 Outcome 91035745, $2,434
  7. 0xcaf9...c81b Outcome 91035745, $2,000 (47% win rate)
  8. 0x73b6...5db1 Outcome 91035745, $1,677
  9. 0x51d7...238c Outcome 91035745, $1,420
  10. 0x4b68...b1e6 Outcome 91035745, $1,345

Related Theses

Covers 10 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

ResolvedMegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? $22,278 tracked5 signalsAirdropsFeaturedCryptoMegaETHPre-Marketfdv

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

Notable Trades

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

92d ago

$1,530 on No at 10¢

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

94d ago

$11,173 on Yes at 80¢

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

95d ago

$3,786 on Yes at 78¢

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

95d ago

$3,200 on Yes at 80¢

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

103d ago

$2,590 on No at 30¢

Related Theses