MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
74 signals across 5 markets · $531,373 tracked · resolves Jul 1, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for MegaETH’s fully diluted valuation one day after launch, with markets ranging from above $600M to above $3B. PolySpotter is tracking $531,373 in smart money activity across 74 signals, including Yes clusters, contrarian No pushes, linked-wallet buying, and cross-market sharp activity.
Markets (5)
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?35 signals · $286,314 tracked
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?24 signals · $176,042 tracked
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?9 signals · $26,216 tracked
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?5 signals · $22,278 tracked
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?1 signal · $20,522 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 82% bettor leads Yes cluster
A 3-wallet cluster is pressing Yes alongside a proven 82% win-rate trader who has repeatedly bet across related markets in this event, making the coordinated flow worth following despite mixed wallet quality.
$9,742Score: 16.1 - 5-wallet contrarian cluster
Five wallets, including several with strong long-run records, piled into the No side around 11-12¢ against a crowded 86-88¢ Yes market, creating a notable coordinated contrarian bet worth watching.
$17,624Score: 15.8 - New linked wallet buying NO
A 2-day-old repeat bettor linked to another funded wallet is taking the NO side on a liquid crypto-launch valuation market, though the size is modest.
$1,649Score: 15.8 - 9-wallet linked No push
Sizable 9-wallet No cluster with 4 linked wallets, a 23x volume spike, and momentum already moving toward No despite mixed wallet records.
$31,262Score: 15.6 - 85% win-rate cross-market sharp
Highly profitable 85% win-rate wallet is building a cross-market MegaETH thesis and got early Yes exposure before the price moved from 30¢ to 38¢.
$3,912Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 13.2 - 3-wallet Yes momentum cluster
Coordinated Yes-side buying across 3 wallets coincides with a 17.4x volume spike and a sharp move toward Yes in a crypto launch valuation market.
$15,148Score: 12.3 - 83% win-rate event specialist
A proven profitable crypto-event trader with an 83% win rate is making a fresh multi-market thesis bet on MegaETH at 28¢, which stands out more than the ticket size alone.
$3,586Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 12.0 - 82% winner with event thesis
A proven profitable wallet with an 82% win rate is making a sizable fresh buy and has a strong history of building cross-market theses around the same event.
$9,656Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 12.0 - 83% win-rate event specialist
A proven profitable wallet with an 83% win rate is making a fresh cross-market thesis bet on this event, buying Yes at 32¢.
$6,683Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 12.0 - 83% win-rate event specialist
Profitable cross-market specialist with an 83% win rate is expressing a fresh bearish view across this event by selling Yes, which maps to buying No around 70¢.
$1,910Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 12.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xeb6789…d696$185,086 · 4 markets · 39 alerts · 85% wins
- 0xd293f9…8940$92,337 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0xcc05ed…013a$15,504 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 65% wins
- 0x9701df…dd5f$15,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x9c987f…f4f4$12,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x3e5b23…073b$10,070 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 88% wins
- 0xde283a…a563$7,791 · 2 markets · 2 alerts
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$6,294 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x3fbbb0…3f66$6,284 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0xb7b3ed…9573$5,892 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
FAQs
What are the MegaETH FDV prediction market odds tracking?
These markets estimate whether MegaETH’s fully diluted valuation will exceed key thresholds one day after launch, including $600M, $800M, $1B, $2B, and $3B.
What is smart money doing in the MegaETH FDV markets?
PolySpotter has tracked 74 smart money signals and $531,373 across the event. Recent alerts include an 82% bettor leading a Yes cluster, a 5-wallet contrarian cluster, and a 9-wallet linked No push.
Are traders betting Yes or No on MegaETH’s launch valuation?
Activity is split across thresholds and directions. Some alerts show strong Yes buying from high-conviction bettors, while others show linked wallets and contrarian clusters buying No, especially around higher FDV outcomes.
When does the MegaETH FDV event resolve?
The event is listed to resolve by July 1, 2026 at 04:00 UTC, based on MegaETH’s fully diluted valuation one day after launch.
Where can I track MegaETH Polymarket odds and sharp-wallet activity?
This PolySpotter hub tracks all MegaETH FDV child markets in one place, including odds movement, smart money alerts, linked-wallet clusters, and cross-market sharp signals.