Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

This prediction market asks whether Variational’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $500 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after its public token launch. For this market, launch only counts once the token is actively transferable and publicly tradable, and FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price. Current smart money activity is limited but includes a recent bet buying Yes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,957.

Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, Variational, fdv

Notable Trades

12-0 bettor buying Yes

A wallet with a perfect 12-for-12 resolved record just made a nearly $4k bet equivalent to buying Yes at 22¢, and the size was over 7.7x this market’s recent trading volume.

  • This bettor has won 12 of 12 resolved trades and is up $84.5k lifetime
  • Their trade was bigger than 7.7x the market’s recent volume, showing clear conviction
  • Selling No at 78¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 22¢, close to the current 21-22¢ market

$3,957 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb546...33e2 — Yes, $9,687
  2. 0x4818...bf0b — Yes, $6,186
  3. 0xe551...0a67 — No, $5,048 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xc1fd...ba6c — No, $5,000
  5. 0x6e9a...d9d7 — No, $4,093
  6. 0x25dc...e33b — No, $3,997
  7. 0xe3f5...8a53 — Yes, $3,579
  8. 0x6138...97a0 — No, $3,526
  9. 0x464e...1a67 — Yes, $3,510
  10. 0x51fd...4272 — Yes, $3,470

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

629d$3,957 tracked1 signalCryptoPre-MarketVariationalfdv
Yes
21¢
No
79¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Price History — “No”
85¢
81¢
77¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

7h ago

$3,957 on Yes at 22¢

22¢→21¢↓1¢