Part of: Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $274,301.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
13-wallet Alliance conviction cluster
A 13-wallet, two-funder Alliance cluster deployed nearly $158,000 while several participants have strong profitability and the market moved from roughly 66-73% to 88%.
- Thirteen wallets backed Alliance with nearly $158,000, including wallets linked to two common funders.
- Several participants have exceptional records, including 77% wins across 1,338 positions and 76% across 168 positions.
- The coordinated buying helped drive Alliance from roughly 66-73% to 88%, alongside a 397x volume spike.
$157,988 on Alliance
Serial bettor adds to magic
A serial cross-market trader added $6,200 to magic during an extraordinary 3,244x pre-event volume spike, although the track record does not show a clear price-adjusted edge.
- A $6,200 buy of magic helped coincide with a 3,244x historical volume spike before the match.
- This trader has participated across 48 events and 203 resolved bets, with a 67% win rate and $36,009 lifetime profit.
- The wallet is adding to an existing $10,000 magic position at 62¢, signaling increased conviction, though its average winning entry is 71¢.
$6,200 on magic | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable serial bettor adds Alliance
A profitable serial cross-market bettor is adding $4,768 to an existing Alliance position at 38%, though the trade is not a fresh entry.
- This bettor has won 68% of 165 resolved trades and is up $298,203 lifetime.
- They added $4,768 to an existing Alliance position at 38%, reinforcing their match conviction.
- The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, making the 38% entry relatively practical to follow.
$4,768 on Alliance | Wallet win rate: 68%
Proven serial bettor backs magic
A highly experienced serial bettor with 2,019 resolved trades, a 76% win rate, and $2.83M profit is buying magic at near-market odds.
- This bettor wins 76% of 2,019 resolved trades and is up $2.83 million.
- They consistently trade across 1,215 markets and 845 events, indicating substantial experience rather than a one-off wager.
- The $2,002 purchase backs magic at 63%, close to the current 62% market price and supported by a strong track record.
$2,002 on magic | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable bettor buys magic into selloff
A highly profitable bettor made an unusually large magic position, but it conflicts with a much larger linked Alliance cluster and has already moved sharply underwater.
- A bettor with a 74% win rate and $1.67M profit committed $85.6K to magic, mostly between 31¢ and 40¢.
- The position is now around 22¢, making this a high-conviction but clearly adverse move rather than a confirmed winning signal.
- A separate 24-wallet linked cluster put $933K into Alliance, while volume spiked more than 1,300× its historical average.
$88,344 on magic
92% winner backs magic
A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and $1.5M profit placed a $15,000 fresh wager on magic in an extremely low-volume market.
- This bettor has won 348 of 380 resolved positions, with $1.5M in profit and a substantial edge over typical market odds.
- The $15,000 buy on magic represents more than 30 times the market's recent 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin market.
- The entry at 63¢ is close to the current 62% implied probability, so the trade is most attractive only near the original price.
$15,000 on magic | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x31e5...4879 — Outcome 95700170, $1,761,332 (74% win rate)
- 0xf559...f462 — Outcome 95700170, $23,810 (92% win rate)
- 0x5901...63a2 — Outcome 95700170, $16,426 (90% win rate)
- 0xc063...1795 — Outcome 95700170, $7,819
- 0x2f62...dd4d — Outcome 95700170, $7,242 (98% win rate)
- 0xad94...85b1 — Outcome 95700170, $6,872 (42% win rate)
- 0x8adb...e4f6 — Outcome 95700170, $6,000 (74% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — Outcome 95700170, $3,187 (76% win rate)
- 0x8400...274c — Outcome 95700170, $3,175 (60% win rate)
- 0x9b96...4389 — Outcome 95700170, $3,000 (61% win rate)
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