Part of: Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $274,301.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

13-wallet Alliance conviction cluster

A 13-wallet, two-funder Alliance cluster deployed nearly $158,000 while several participants have strong profitability and the market moved from roughly 66-73% to 88%.

  • Thirteen wallets backed Alliance with nearly $158,000, including wallets linked to two common funders.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including 77% wins across 1,338 positions and 76% across 168 positions.
  • The coordinated buying helped drive Alliance from roughly 66-73% to 88%, alongside a 397x volume spike.

$157,988 on Alliance

Serial bettor adds to magic

A serial cross-market trader added $6,200 to magic during an extraordinary 3,244x pre-event volume spike, although the track record does not show a clear price-adjusted edge.

  • A $6,200 buy of magic helped coincide with a 3,244x historical volume spike before the match.
  • This trader has participated across 48 events and 203 resolved bets, with a 67% win rate and $36,009 lifetime profit.
  • The wallet is adding to an existing $10,000 magic position at 62¢, signaling increased conviction, though its average winning entry is 71¢.

$6,200 on magic | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable serial bettor adds Alliance

A profitable serial cross-market bettor is adding $4,768 to an existing Alliance position at 38%, though the trade is not a fresh entry.

  • This bettor has won 68% of 165 resolved trades and is up $298,203 lifetime.
  • They added $4,768 to an existing Alliance position at 38%, reinforcing their match conviction.
  • The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, making the 38% entry relatively practical to follow.

$4,768 on Alliance | Wallet win rate: 68%

Proven serial bettor backs magic

A highly experienced serial bettor with 2,019 resolved trades, a 76% win rate, and $2.83M profit is buying magic at near-market odds.

  • This bettor wins 76% of 2,019 resolved trades and is up $2.83 million.
  • They consistently trade across 1,215 markets and 845 events, indicating substantial experience rather than a one-off wager.
  • The $2,002 purchase backs magic at 63%, close to the current 62% market price and supported by a strong track record.

$2,002 on magic | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable bettor buys magic into selloff

A highly profitable bettor made an unusually large magic position, but it conflicts with a much larger linked Alliance cluster and has already moved sharply underwater.

  • A bettor with a 74% win rate and $1.67M profit committed $85.6K to magic, mostly between 31¢ and 40¢.
  • The position is now around 22¢, making this a high-conviction but clearly adverse move rather than a confirmed winning signal.
  • A separate 24-wallet linked cluster put $933K into Alliance, while volume spiked more than 1,300× its historical average.

$88,344 on magic

92% winner backs magic

A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and $1.5M profit placed a $15,000 fresh wager on magic in an extremely low-volume market.

  • This bettor has won 348 of 380 resolved positions, with $1.5M in profit and a substantial edge over typical market odds.
  • The $15,000 buy on magic represents more than 30 times the market's recent 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin market.
  • The entry at 63¢ is close to the current 62% implied probability, so the trade is most attractive only near the original price.

$15,000 on magic | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x31e5...4879 Outcome 95700170, $1,761,332 (74% win rate)
  2. 0xf559...f462 Outcome 95700170, $23,810 (92% win rate)
  3. 0x5901...63a2 Outcome 95700170, $16,426 (90% win rate)
  4. 0x2f62...dd4d Outcome 95700170, $7,242 (98% win rate)
  5. 0xad94...85b1 Outcome 95700170, $6,872 (42% win rate)
  6. 0x8adb...e4f6 Outcome 95700170, $6,000 (74% win rate)
  7. 0xdd88...dadb Outcome 95700170, $3,187 (76% win rate)
  8. 0x9b96...4389 Outcome 95700170, $3,000 (61% win rate)
  9. 0x66b1...340f Outcome 95700170, $2,526 (74% win rate)
  10. 0xb454...a98c Outcome 95700170, $2,500 (96% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay

Covers 5 related markets

Brazil routs Scotland in shootout

Covers 5 related markets

France routs Norway with goals

Covers 4 related markets

Argentina wins big, both score

Covers 5 related markets

Bilibili wins after dropping opener

Covers 5 related markets

Argentina won’t win; others favored

Covers 7 related markets

Fed holds rates steady

Covers 2 related markets

Thunder win low-scoring rout

Covers 3 related markets

Thunder cover low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Vitality sweeps MOUZ

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B$274,301 tracked6 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final match between Alliance and magic in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B, initially scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Alliance. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Alliance
102¢
69¢
37¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

1d ago

$157,988 on Alliance at 72¢

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

1d ago

$6,200 on magic at 62¢

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

1d ago

$4,768 on Alliance at 38¢

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

1d ago

$2,002 on magic at 63¢

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

1d ago

$88,344 on magic at 36¢

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

1d ago

$15,000 on magic at 63¢

Related Theses

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Brazil routs Scotland in shootout
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/…Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
France routs Norway with goals
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Norway vs. France: France O/U …Spread: France (-1.5)Norway vs. France: France O/U …
Argentina wins big, both score
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U …Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…
Bilibili wins after dropping opener
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…
Argentina won’t win; others favored
Wallet_0xf5592 trades 7 related markets
Will Argentina win the 2026 FI…Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA W…Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA …
Fed holds rates steady
Wallet_0xf5592 trades 2 related markets
Will there be no change in Fed…Will the Fed increase interest…
Thunder win low-scoring rout
Wallet_0xf5592 trades 3 related markets
Spurs vs. ThunderSpread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5
Thunder cover low-scoring game
Wallet_0xf5592 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
Vitality sweeps MOUZ
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…