This 10-day-old wallet has already won 8 of 9 resolved bets and is up $21.2k They put nearly $6k on Vitality at 74¢, and the market is now 88¢ The bet landed during a 127.6x volume surge, suggesting strong momentum behind the move

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Spirit and Vitality in the IEM Rio Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 19 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 3 against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 3 against Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 3. If Map 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $111,538.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

New hot-hand whale

A 10-day-old wallet with early profits and an 89% win rate made another sizable bet into a major volume spike, and the price has already moved sharply in its favor.

This 10-day-old wallet has already won 8 of 9 resolved bets and is up $21.2k
They put nearly $6k on Vitality at 74¢, and the market is now 88¢
The bet landed during a 127.6x volume surge, suggesting strong momentum behind the move

$5,953 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 89%

73% win-rate cross-market bettor

A proven 73% win-rate sports trader put $36k into Vitality as part of a larger cross-market thesis, and the market has already moved strongly in their favor on a major volume spike.

This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $157.6k lifetime
They put $36k on Vitality at 65¢, and the price has already moved up to 76¢
They trade across 72 related markets and this event saw a 218x volume spike

$36,041 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 72%

91% winner on event thesis

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 91% win rate bought Vitality as event-wide volume and price both surged, making this a strong follow signal despite the modest ticket size.

This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up about $2.0M across 853 resolved bets.
They bet 3 markets in this same event and have made profitable cross-market calls across 160 events.
Vitality was bought at 72¢ as market volume spiked 218x and the price jumped 16.5 points.

$1,964 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 91%

Proven esports bettor chasing breakout

A proven serial cross-market bettor with 201 resolved trades bought Vitality before a sharp move higher during a major pre-match volume surge.

This bettor has won 62% of 201 resolved trades and is up more than $10k overall
They bought Vitality at 64¢ and the price quickly moved to 74¢, showing strong follow-through
Market volume spiked 218x versus normal activity, suggesting concentrated interest before the map started

$1,147 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 62%

Sharp bettor on underdog

A highly profitable serial sports trader with 877 resolved bets bought Spirit at 26¢ during an extreme pre-event volume surge, making this a credible underdog position worth watching.

This bettor wins 67% of 877 resolved trades and is up $544k overall
They bought Spirit at 26¢ during a 218x volume spike, suggesting strong event-driven interest
Entry at 26¢ means they only need Spirit to win Map 3 more than about 1 in 4 times

$1,428 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 67%

8-wallet Vitality cluster

An 8-wallet cluster piled more than $56k into Vitality in minutes, led by several profitable serial cross-market traders with 72-73% win rates during a massive event-wide volume surge.

Eight wallets bought Vitality for $56.6k in a tight burst, including one $36k bet at 65¢
Several of the wallets have strong sports track records, with 72-73% win rates and up to $157.6k profit
This match saw a 545x volume spike versus normal activity, showing unusually strong event-wide conviction

$56,557 on Vitality

95% win-rate sharp

A proven sharp sports trader with a 95% win rate bought Spirit at 36¢, backed by coordinated one-sided flow and a major pre-match volume surge.

This bettor wins 95% of their trades and is up $315k across 354 resolved positions
They bought Spirit at 36¢, a price that implies roughly a 2.8x payout if they are right
Four wallets all piled into Spirit for $8.5k total as volume ran nearly 699x above normal

$2,475 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable new wallet cluster

A 5-day-old wallet with early profits joined a 4-wallet one-sided push into Spirit during an extreme volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than routine flow.

This 5-day-old wallet is already up $4.1k and has won all 5 of its resolved bets
Four wallets bought Spirit together for $8.5k as market activity jumped 699x above normal
They entered at 35¢, a low price that offers strong upside if their read on Map 3 is right

$1,716 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor joins cluster

A high-win-rate bettor bought Spirit at 35¢ alongside three other wallets during an extreme volume surge, creating a coordinated value signal worth surfacing.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $16.3k on $36.6k invested
Four wallets all bought Spirit together, putting $8.5k behind the same side
They entered at 35¢ during a 699x volume spike, implying they see clear value before the market moved

$2,745 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 92%

88% win-rate esports bettor

A high-volume sports bettor with an 88% win rate made a market-moving buy in a thin Counter-Strike map market, suggesting follow-worthy conviction despite the modest composite score.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $196k lifetime.
They bought $1.5k of Vitality at 67¢, more than the market's full recent volume.
The market is thin with a 4¢ spread, so this size likely reflects real conviction rather than routine flow.

$1,510 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 88%