Part of: Largest Company end of June?
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
This prediction market asks whether NVIDIA will be the largest company in the world by market capitalization at market close on June 30, 2026. It will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting, with smart money activity currently showing $1,034 tracked across 1 signal. Traders are watching NVIDIA’s AI-driven growth, Big Tech competition, and broader market conditions that could affect its ranking.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,536.
Categories: AI, Tech, Big Tech, Economy, DeepSeek, Business, Finance
Notable Trades
Proven winner fading favorite
Despite weak standalone signals, this is worth surfacing because a profitable 81% lifetime bettor is taking the No side against an 86% favorite after a sharp weekly rally.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $8.8k lifetime.
- They are fading an 86% favorite after Yes rose 15.5 points this week.
- Buying No at 14¢ implies a high-upside contrarian bet if NVIDIA is not largest by market cap.
$1,034 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
92% winner buying dip
Sharp wallet with a 92% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes despite only moderate signal strength, making the wallet track record the main copy signal.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $35.3K lifetime.
- They bought $1.2K of Yes at 87¢ after a fast price drop, suggesting confidence in a rebound.
- NVIDIA Yes has strong momentum, up 18.5 points this week with a tight 1¢ spread.
$1,192 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial market trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a long track record bought $3.3k of Yes on NVIDIA remaining largest company, though the bet size is modest for this liquid market.
- This bettor has won 66% of nearly 2,900 resolved bets and is up about $968k lifetime.
- They have traded across 1,942 markets with over $6.3M in flagged cross-market activity.
- Buying at 71¢ after a sharp weekly pullback suggests they see NVIDIA’s lead as underpriced.
$3,311 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $346,096
- 0x844e...4f41 — Yes, $42,873 (48% win rate)
- 0x657b...3992 — Yes, $24,162
- 0xbf5d...6e7d — Yes, $20,041 (58% win rate)
- 0xb187...44a9 — Yes, $16,847
- 0xeae7...2800 — Yes, $16,451 (55% win rate)
- 0x3143...81b1 — No, $13,241
- 0x9ca1...13ea — Yes, $11,919
- 0x1f85...a51b — Yes, $10,451 (69% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — Yes, $10,161 (67% win rate)
Related Theses
High-scoring outcome volatility
Covers 3 related markets
