Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,960.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

81% winner backs Spirit

Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with an 81% record is buying Spirit at 42¢ despite only a modest signal score.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $15.5K lifetime.
Their average winning entry is 53¢, but they bought Spirit here at 42¢.
Entry at 42¢ implies they see Spirit covering as underpriced.

$1,958 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable serial bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large 408-bet sample is backing MOUZ +1.5 at 60¢.

This bettor has won 62% of 408 resolved bets and is up $74K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with $275K deployed across 127 events.
Entry at 60¢ suggests confidence despite MOUZ trading closer to 58% now.

$1,250 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 62%

Profitable serial esports trader

Surfaced because a highly profitable serial cross-market trader with $812k lifetime profit bought Spirit at 42¢.

This bettor is up $812k lifetime across 659 resolved markets.
They have traded 239 events and win 67% of resolved bets.
Entry at 42¢ suggests they see Spirit’s handicap odds as mispriced.

$2,025 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable esports sharp

A highly profitable esports bettor with a large resolved sample bought $3.1k of Spirit -1.5 at 41¢ despite only a weak low-activity signal.

This bettor is up about $808k lifetime across 658 resolved trades.
They bought $3.1k of Spirit at 41¢, a meaningful position in a relatively quiet handicap market.
Entry at 41¢ implies they see Spirit -1.5 as underpriced versus current market odds.

$3,127 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 78%

93% winning esports sharp

Sharp esports bettor with a 93% win rate and strong cross-market history bought Spirit at 40% despite the market currently pricing it slightly lower.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $264,792 lifetime.
They have traded across 142 events with the same 93% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
Entry at 40¢ implies they see Spirit covering -1.5 maps as a strong mispricing.

$2,300 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 95%

93% serial sports sharp

A highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor with extensive cross-market history made a large Spirit handicap buy on a relatively quiet market.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved positions and is up $264,792 lifetime.
They are a seasoned cross-market trader with 141 events tracked and a 93% hit rate.
The $12,300 position is larger than recent market volume, showing strong conviction in a thin book.

$12,300 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

0xadfa...324e — Outcome 27062906, $9,000 (53% win rate)
0xc922...2618 — Outcome 27062906, $4,000 (53% win rate)
0xce08...510b — Outcome 27062906, $2,158 (65% win rate)
0x6239...1d79 — Outcome 27062906, $2,090 (62% win rate)
0xbfdf...8e02 — Outcome 27062906, $2,000 (32% win rate)
0x48b8...4b69 — Outcome 27062906, $1,500 (72% win rate)
0x13c7...11d9 — Outcome 27062906, $1,500 (49% win rate)
0x5b10...9659 — Outcome 27062906, $1,000 (71% win rate)
0x53ab...65aa — Outcome 27062906, $888
0x95a4...7bd9 — Outcome 27062906, $656

Related Theses

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

ResolvedCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$22,960 tracked6 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between MOUZ and Spirit in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 16 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than MOUZ in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MOUZ". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.