Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
7 signals across 2 markets · $29,853 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks the Counter-Strike BO3 semifinal between MOUZ and Spirit at the PGL Astana Playoffs, including both the match-winner market and Spirit -1.5 / MOUZ +1.5 map handicap. PolySpotter has tracked $20,267 in smart-money activity across the event, with recent signals from elite esports and high-win-rate sports sharps.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 93% serial sports sharp
A highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor with extensive cross-market history made a large Spirit handicap buy on a relatively quiet market.
$12,300Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 9.4 - 93% winning esports sharp
Sharp esports bettor with a 93% win rate and strong cross-market history bought Spirit at 40% despite the market currently pricing it slightly lower.
$2,300Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 9.0 - Elite esports sharp
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and $303k profit bought Spirit for $5.7k at 67¢.
$5,667Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 6.0 - Sharp bettor joins MOUZ cluster
Three-wallet one-sided flow on MOUZ includes one sharp bettor with an 88% record converting a Spirit sell into fresh MOUZ exposure.
$5,594Score: 4.1 - Sharp 88% winner
Sharp bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and strong positive P&L bought Spirit at 68%, making the wallet track record the main reason to surface this trade.
$1,078Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Serial cross-market bettor with a very large profitable history bought MOUZ at 33¢, indicating a copyable underdog position despite only a single trade signal.
$1,760Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial esports bettor
Surfaced because a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% record and $1.19M lifetime profit is buying MOUZ at 33¢.
$1,154Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x690248…b4ca$14,600 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0xf55927…f462$5,667 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0xef2684…05ba$2,914 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 73% wins
- 0x15e484…7ba4$1,078 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
FAQs
What are the MOUZ vs Spirit prediction market odds?
The event includes markets for the outright BO3 winner between MOUZ and Spirit, plus a map handicap market on Spirit -1.5 versus MOUZ +1.5. Check the live Polymarket prices on PolySpotter for the latest implied odds and movement.
What is the smart money doing on MOUZ vs Spirit?
PolySpotter has tracked $20,267 in smart-money activity across this event, including signals from a 93% winning esports sharp, a 93% serial sports sharp, and an elite esports sharp. Those alerts can help identify where experienced bettors are taking positions.
What does the map handicap market mean?
The map handicap market covers whether Spirit can win the best-of-three by 2-0, or whether MOUZ can keep the match within one map or win outright. Spirit -1.5 needs a clean sweep, while MOUZ +1.5 wins if MOUZ take at least one map or win the match.
When does the MOUZ vs Spirit Polymarket event resolve?
The match was scheduled for May 16 at 6:00AM ET, with the event resolving based on the official winner of the BO3. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner, the market rules call for a 50-50 resolution.
Where can I track MOUZ vs Spirit Polymarket activity?
You can use PolySpotter to follow the MOUZ vs Spirit event hub, including live odds, child markets, smart-money alerts, and notable position changes across both the match winner and map handicap markets.