Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
40 signals across 4 markets · $232,205 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks the Counter-Strike BO3 semifinal between MOUZ and Spirit at the PGL Astana Playoffs, including both the match-winner market and Spirit -1.5 / MOUZ +1.5 map handicap. PolySpotter has tracked $20,267 in smart-money activity across the event, with recent signals from elite esports and high-win-rate sports sharps.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- 89% winner backed by cluster
Sharp 89% win-rate wallet with $1.6M profit is making a $44k Spirit bet, supported by linked-wallet activity and a major pre-event volume spike.
$44,266Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 14.7 - Four-wallet Spirit push
Four wallets bought $10k of Spirit amid a 92x pre-event volume spike, including a highly profitable serial cross-market trader with $353k lifetime profit.
$10,018Score: 11.2 - 99% winner backs Spirit
A highly proven bettor with a 99% historical win rate and strong cross-market track record bought $3,000 of Spirit at 71¢.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 10.2 - Sharp cluster buying Spirit
Strong Spirit buy cluster led by a highly profitable 94% winner with nearly $1M lifetime profit, plus one-sided flow and a 36x pre-event volume spike.
$20,459Score: 10.1 - 93% serial sports sharp
A highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor with extensive cross-market history made a large Spirit handicap buy on a relatively quiet market.
$12,300Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 9.4 - 93% winner linked cluster
Surface this because a highly profitable 93% winner with linked-wallet backing bought $5.1k of Spirit on an esports match.
$5,098Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 9.3 - 93% winner buying underdog
Sharp esports bettor with a 93% record and strong cross-market history bought MOUZ at 30¢ despite Spirit being favored.
$1,471Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 9.0 - 93% winning esports sharp
Sharp esports bettor with a 93% win rate and strong cross-market history bought Spirit at 40% despite the market currently pricing it slightly lower.
$2,300Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 9.0 - Sharp favorite fade
A profitable 79% winner and two other wallets all moved toward MOUZ, though the largest leg was a Spirit profit-taking exit rather than a fresh MOUZ buy.
$10,503Score: 9.0 - Three-wallet Spirit push
Three wallets put nearly $20k on Spirit at 68¢ ahead of a sharp move to 77¢, including one profitable high-volume bettor and one small-sample sharp wallet.
$19,864Score: 8.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0x5966db…f804$44,266 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x03f8db…d85a$17,300 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 96% wins
- 0x690248…b4ca$14,600 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 95% wins
- 0x67bb64…b6ef$10,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
- 0xcf609d…a6f5$10,120 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 79% wins
- 0x3da89a…80c3$9,999 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 96% wins
- 0xf55927…f462$5,667 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x266251…3f84$5,098 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xf7c266…9b8d$4,444 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 95% wins
- 0xd56837…a35a$3,959 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
FAQs
What are the MOUZ vs Spirit prediction market odds?
The event includes markets for the outright BO3 winner between MOUZ and Spirit, plus a map handicap market on Spirit -1.5 versus MOUZ +1.5. Check the live Polymarket prices on PolySpotter for the latest implied odds and movement.
What is the smart money doing on MOUZ vs Spirit?
PolySpotter has tracked $20,267 in smart-money activity across this event, including signals from a 93% winning esports sharp, a 93% serial sports sharp, and an elite esports sharp. Those alerts can help identify where experienced bettors are taking positions.
What does the map handicap market mean?
The map handicap market covers whether Spirit can win the best-of-three by 2-0, or whether MOUZ can keep the match within one map or win outright. Spirit -1.5 needs a clean sweep, while MOUZ +1.5 wins if MOUZ take at least one map or win the match.
When does the MOUZ vs Spirit Polymarket event resolve?
The match was scheduled for May 16 at 6:00AM ET, with the event resolving based on the official winner of the BO3. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner, the market rules call for a 50-50 resolution.
Where can I track MOUZ vs Spirit Polymarket activity?
You can use PolySpotter to follow the MOUZ vs Spirit event hub, including live odds, child markets, smart-money alerts, and notable position changes across both the match winner and map handicap markets.