Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,240.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

Profitable new tracker bettor

A 5-day-old wallet with early profitability and a 6-for-6 resolved record bought Yes near expiry on a fast-moving Elon tweet-count market.

This new wallet is 6-for-6 on resolved bets and is up $1,705 in its first 5 days.
They bought Yes at 87¢ after the market moved sharply, suggesting confidence the tweet count stays in range.
The market is close to resolution, where live-count tracking can create a real edge.

$1,250 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable bettor bought the dip

A profitable, high-volume bettor bought No after a sharp dislocation in the tweet-count market and the position has already moved from 49¢ to 57¢.

This bettor has 630 resolved trades and is up about $150K lifetime.
They bought No at 49¢ after a major price drop, and it has already moved to 57¢.
The market has heavy recent activity, with $192K traded in 24 hours and a 30-point daily swing.

$2,990 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%