Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,240.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

Profitable new tracker bettor

A 5-day-old wallet with early profitability and a 6-for-6 resolved record bought Yes near expiry on a fast-moving Elon tweet-count market.

  • This new wallet is 6-for-6 on resolved bets and is up $1,705 in its first 5 days.
  • They bought Yes at 87¢ after the market moved sharply, suggesting confidence the tweet count stays in range.
  • The market is close to resolution, where live-count tracking can create a real edge.

$1,250 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable bettor bought the dip

A profitable, high-volume bettor bought No after a sharp dislocation in the tweet-count market and the position has already moved from 49¢ to 57¢.

  • This bettor has 630 resolved trades and is up about $150K lifetime.
  • They bought No at 49¢ after a major price drop, and it has already moved to 57¢.
  • The market has heavy recent activity, with $192K traded in 24 hours and a 30-point daily swing.

$2,990 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 58631523, $376,837
  2. 0xb4e9...f380 Outcome 58631523, $13,140 (12% win rate)
  3. 0xa638...1d87 Outcome 58631523, $9,788 (54% win rate)
  4. 0x77c8...bc8c Outcome 58631523, $8,240 (33% win rate)
  5. 0x7712...155a Outcome 58631523, $6,891
  6. 0xfd5c...6d2a Outcome 58631523, $5,017 (34% win rate)
  7. 0xff4e...5502 Outcome 58631523, $5,000
  8. 0x51ce...50c6 Outcome 58631523, $3,000
  9. 0xa49b...7054 Outcome 14730077, $2,280 (81% win rate)
  10. 0xd3ce...b432 Outcome 14730077, $2,048

Related Theses

Musk will tweet prolifically

Covers 2 related markets

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?$4,240 tracked2 signalsCulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRewards Automation 200 4.5 50

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No
101¢
72¢
43¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

1d ago

$1,250 on Yes at 87¢

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

2d ago

$2,990 on No at 49¢

Related Theses