Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between TheMongolz and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against TheMongolz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
26 smart money signals detected, totaling $88,649.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with $2.3M lifetime P&L is taking a contrarian TheMongolz position, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor is up $2.3M lifetime across more than 27,000 resolved trades.
- They have traded 1,700+ related markets across 1,456 events, showing a long-running cross-market strategy.
- This is a contrarian 16¢ entry on TheMongolz, now down to 8¢ after a sharp move against them.
$1,589 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 58%
Serial esports mover
Serial cross-market esports trader with a 72% hit rate bought $3.6k of Aurora at 79%, helping drive a rapid move to 84%.
- This wallet has traded 164 markets across 152 events and wins 72% of resolved bets.
- They bought $3.6k of Aurora at 79¢ before the price jumped to 84¢.
- The market moved 26 percentage points in 5 minutes with a tight 1¢ spread, suggesting real momentum.
$3,600 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable serial esports flow
Surface: a profitable serial cross-market sports/esports bettor joined one-sided Aurora flow amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a long track record: 246 resolved bets, 62% wins, and $170k lifetime profit.
- Four wallets bought Aurora in the same window, totaling $14.7k on one side.
- Market volume is surging 42x before the match, suggesting strong pre-event positioning.
$1,672 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable bettor joins Aurora cluster
Surface: a profitable serial cross-market trader joined one-sided Aurora flow during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a large track record: 1,396 resolved bets, 59% wins, and $126K lifetime profit.
- Four wallets are all buying Aurora, totaling $14.7K on the same side.
- Market volume spiked 41.6x before the match, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.
$1,214 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial esports trader
A highly active profitable cross-market trader sold TheMongolz before a sharp move lower, effectively backing Aurora at 50¢ despite the trade also closing a prior TheMongolz position.
- This bettor has won 73% of 1,851 resolved trades and is up $65K lifetime.
- They effectively backed Aurora at 50¢ before the market moved to 64¢.
- TheMongolz dropped 11 points in about 3 minutes, and this wallet was on the right side of the move.
$1,318 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large positive track record bought Aurora as an underdog despite the price moving against them afterward.
- This bettor is up $497k across 431 resolved trades, with a 61% win rate.
- They have traded 250 events and nearly $1.9M in similar cross-market action.
- They bought Aurora at 42¢, while the market is now around 32¢, offering a cheaper entry than their fill.
$4,248 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 66%
87% winning esports sharp
Sharp esports bettor with an 87% win rate and strong cross-market history bought TheMongolz despite the price later moving against them.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $87K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 67 events, with the same 87% win rate over 119 resolved positions.
- Entry at 67¢ has moved to 58¢, offering a cheaper price than the sharp bettor paid.
$2,429 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 79%
95% winner joins Aurora cluster
Elite 95% winner with strong lifetime profit is buying Aurora alongside a linked one-sided cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $430K lifetime.
- Four wallets are all buying Aurora, including two linked wallets, for $8.6K total.
- Market volume is spiking 33x before the match, and this entry at 48¢ implies roughly 2x upside.
$2,222 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large 327-bet history bought Aurora at 48¢ amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 66% of 327 resolved bets and is up about $147k lifetime.
- They have traded across 46 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports process rather than a one-off bet.
- Aurora was bought at 48¢ in a market seeing a 20x pre-event volume spike.
$1,250 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 75%
93% win-rate esports sharp
Proven sharp esports bettor with a 93% win rate and $2.6M profit is buying TheMongolz for $10k at 53¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $2.6M lifetime.
- They have traded across 407 events with $5.4M deployed, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- A $10k buy at 53¢ implies they see TheMongolz as better than a coin flip.
$10,000 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xdd88...dadb — TheMongolz, $22,552 (77% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — TheMongolz, $20,000 (84% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — TheMongolz, $19,811 (88% win rate)
- 0x41f4...3eac — TheMongolz, $16,135 (94% win rate)
- 0xcc6e...fa6f — TheMongolz, $14,924 (67% win rate)
- 0x2f63...f247 — TheMongolz, $11,111 (85% win rate)
- 0x6902...b4ca — TheMongolz, $9,865 (96% win rate)
- 0x3936...366d — TheMongolz, $9,769 (100% win rate)
- 0xe169...4653 — TheMongolz, $7,678 (79% win rate)
- 0xa557...6e77 — TheMongolz, $7,089 (68% win rate)
Related Theses
FUT wins in three maps
Covers 3 related markets
Spirit wins after dropping Game 1
Covers 3 related markets
FUT sweeps EDward Gaming
Covers 3 related markets
Monte beats paiN
Covers 4 related markets
G2 sweeps BIG
Covers 3 related markets
TYLOO sweeps 9z
Covers 3 related markets
B8 sweep BIG
Covers 3 related markets
FUT wins in three maps
Covers 4 related markets
