Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

This prediction market asks whether the official CME settlement price for the active-month NYMEX crude oil (CL) futures contract will reach $175 or higher on any trading day before the end of June 2026. It resolves to Yes if front-month crude settles at or above $175 at least once by June 30, 2026, and No otherwise. Traders watching oil prediction market odds are using it as a high-threshold bet on a major spike in crude prices.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,753.

Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil

Notable Trades

85% winner buying long-shot Yes

A proven profitable wallet with an 85% win rate is taking a fresh cross-market bullish oil tail-risk position by effectively buying Yes at 10¢.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $331k across 73 settled markets
  • The trade effectively buys Yes at 10¢ by selling No at 90¢, a cheap tail-risk entry on a serious macro market
  • They are betting across 2 related oil markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off punt

$1,800 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

91% win-rate oil bettor

A bettor with a 91% win rate is taking a directional cross-market oil view by effectively buying Yes at 14¢, which is notable despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $151k lifetime
  • The trade is effectively a BUY Yes at 14¢ after selling No at 86¢
  • They have been betting across 2 related oil markets, pointing to a broader thesis

$1,720 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

A seasoned cross-market trader with 182 resolved bets and a 64% win rate is taking a fresh directional shot on a low-probability oil spike by effectively buying Yes at 11¢.

  • This wallet has 182 resolved bets with a 64% win rate and $32k profit
  • They trade related markets repeatedly — 102 markets across 46 events suggests a real macro process
  • Selling No at 89¢ is the same as buying Yes at 11¢, a cheap entry on a tail-risk oil move

$5,233 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf041...dde5 Yes, $37,043 (86% win rate)
  2. 0x2974...9c23 No, $26,998 (91% win rate)
  3. 0xb47a...6d60 No, $24,641 (80% win rate)
  4. 0x7f9e...3a0e No, $21,323 (85% win rate)
  5. 0xfbfd...0029 No, $13,060
  6. 0x4047...7293 No, $12,053 (53% win rate)
  7. 0x2c78...a1a3 Yes, $9,237
  8. 0x8276...48e4 Yes, $8,922
  9. 0xc228...b6c5 Yes, $8,263
  10. 0x1e40...3080 Yes, $7,694

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

79d$8,753 tracked3 signalsCommoditiesHide From NewNYMEX Crude Oil FuturesOil
Yes
9¢
No
92¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Price History — “No
93¢
88¢
83¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

1d ago

$1,800 on Yes at 10¢

10¢9¢1¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

7d ago

$1,720 on Yes at 14¢

14¢9¢5¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

9d ago

$5,233 on Yes at 11¢

11¢9¢2¢

Related Theses