Part of: Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa

Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa

This market refers to the tennis match between Mary Stoiana and Paula Badosa in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' if Mary Stoiana advances against Paula Badosa. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Mary Stoiana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $47,569.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

93% winner sells Badosa

A highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor led a three-wallet sell-off of Paula Badosa at 87¢, creating a notable contrarian position on Mary Stoiana despite two wallets taking profits.

The largest trade came from a bettor with a 93% win rate and $2.55M lifetime profit, buying Mary exposure indirectly by selling Badosa at 87¢.
Three wallets sold $11,805 of Paula Badosa during a 300x historical volume spike, despite Badosa holding 86% market odds.
Two participants had previously bought Badosa, so part of the flow appears to be profit-taking rather than entirely fresh conviction.

$11,805 on Mary Stoiana

93% winner backs Badosa

A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $8,000 wager on Paula Badosa.

This bettor has won 93% of 2,722 resolved positions and earned $2.55M in profit.
The wallet is making a concentrated $8,000 bet on Paula Badosa at 74%, now priced at 78%.
Its 764-event trading history shows a consistent, broad market edge rather than a one-off result.

$9,405 on Paula Badosa | Wallet win rate: 93%

93% winner backs Badosa

A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $8,000 wager on Paula Badosa.

This bettor has won 93% of 2,722 resolved positions and earned $2.55M in profit.
The wallet is making a concentrated $8,000 bet on Paula Badosa at 74%, now priced at 78%.
Its 764-event trading history shows a consistent, broad market edge rather than a one-off result.

$8,000 on Paula Badosa | Wallet win rate: 93%

86% winner scaling into Badosa

A highly active bettor with an 86% win rate is adding heavily to Paula Badosa in a relatively quiet market, though the existing position makes this less fresh than a new entry.

This bettor has won 86% of 617 resolved trades across 361 events and is adding another $3,669 to Badosa.
The purchase was about 633% of the detected 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a comparatively quiet market.
The wallet already had $7,130 invested at the same 69¢ entry, so this is an increased position rather than a fresh thesis.

$3,669 on Paula Badosa | Wallet win rate: 85%

Serial whale backing Badosa

A serial, highly profitable trader made a concentrated $10.6K bet on Paula Badosa in an unusually quiet market, though the wallet's historical edge is modest relative to its entry prices.

A $10,570 bet is over 18 times the market's 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in Paula Badosa.
This serial trader has made over $64.7M in cross-market bets, won 64% of 62,441 resolved trades, and is up $50.0M lifetime.
The position was entered at 70¢, with the market currently pricing Badosa as a 70% favorite and offering ample liquidity despite the low trading volume.

$4,119 on Paula Badosa | Wallet win rate: 64%

Serial whale backing Badosa

A serial, highly profitable trader made a concentrated $10.6K bet on Paula Badosa in an unusually quiet market, though the wallet's historical edge is modest relative to its entry prices.

A $10,570 bet is over 18 times the market's 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in Paula Badosa.
This serial trader has made over $64.7M in cross-market bets, won 64% of 62,441 resolved trades, and is up $50.0M lifetime.
The position was entered at 70¢, with the market currently pricing Badosa as a 70% favorite and offering ample liquidity despite the low trading volume.

$10,570 on Paula Badosa | Wallet win rate: 64%