Part of: US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $557,308.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
96% winner in 40-wallet Medvedev cluster
A proven high-edge bettor joined a 40-wallet linked cluster buying Medvedev at 43%, despite the market subsequently collapsing to 0%.
- This bettor has won 96% of 71 resolved positions and is up $250,016, with an average entry price of 47%.
- Forty wallets bought Daniil Medvedev for a combined $326,645, with links to two common funders.
- The trade entered at 43%, but Medvedev's displayed price has since fallen to 0%, making the position highly speculative and potentially stale or impaired.
$1,085 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 96%
Elite bettor in 40-wallet Medvedev cluster
A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate joined a 40-wallet linked cluster buying Medvedev, although the market has since repriced sharply against that position.
- This bettor has won 84% of 1,488 resolved positions and earned $2.13M in profit, far above the odds paid.
- Forty wallets bought Medvedev for a combined $326,645, with linked funding indicating unusually concentrated conviction.
- The entry was 56¢, but Medvedev is currently shown at 0¢ after a 36-point price drop, making the market state especially important to verify.
$2,489 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 84%
Elite bettor scaling into Medvedev
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a large Medvedev position amid a 110x volume spike.
- This bettor wins 85% of 623 resolved positions and is up $1.12 million.
- They are adding to an existing $16,130 Medvedev position at 62¢, signaling continued conviction.
- The market saw a 110x historical volume spike, while this serial trader has participated across 142 events.
$3,549 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 84%
93% win-rate bettor buys Tiafoe
A highly profitable serial trader with a 93% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge is buying Tiafoe at 38 cents amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 93% of 2,589 resolved positions and is up $2.21 million.
- The entry backs Tiafoe at 38 cents despite current market odds implying only a 38% chance, signaling strong conviction in the underdog.
- Trading activity is running at 110 times the historical average, adding meaningful confirmation to the position.
$1,421 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 93%
Seven-wallet Medvedev conviction cluster
Seven wallets committed $82,085 to Medvedev during a 226.8x volume spike, including several highly profitable bettors with strong historical win rates.
- Seven wallets put $82,085 behind Medvedev, including a bettor with 91% wins and another with 79% wins.
- The market saw a 226.8x historical volume spike, making this unusually concentrated tennis-market activity.
- Several wallets are adding to existing Medvedev positions, signaling reinforced conviction rather than a one-off trade.
$82,085 on Daniil Medvedev
57-wallet sharp-money coalition
A large linked-wallet coalition backed Frances Tiafoe, with several participants showing exceptional long-term win rates and the market moving sharply in their direction.
- 57 wallets linked to four funders bought $451,106 of Frances Tiafoe, creating an unusually concentrated directional signal.
- Several participants have outstanding records, including 90% wins at a 51% average entry price and 93% wins across 2,591 resolved positions.
- Frances Tiafoe rose 43 percentage points while Medvedev fell 36 points, strongly corroborating the coalition’s thesis.
$451,106 on Frances Tiafoe
Elite bettor scaling into Medvedev
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a large Medvedev position amid a 110x volume spike.
- This bettor wins 85% of 623 resolved positions and is up $1.12 million.
- They are adding to an existing $16,130 Medvedev position at 62¢, signaling continued conviction.
- The market saw a 110x historical volume spike, while this serial trader has participated across 142 events.
$2,417 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 84%
93% win-rate bettor buys Tiafoe
A highly profitable serial trader with a 93% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge is buying Tiafoe at 38 cents amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 93% of 2,589 resolved positions and is up $2.21 million.
- The entry backs Tiafoe at 38 cents despite current market odds implying only a 38% chance, signaling strong conviction in the underdog.
- Trading activity is running at 110 times the historical average, adding meaningful confirmation to the position.
$3,000 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp bettor scaling into Medvedev
A highly profitable bettor with an 87% win rate and substantial edge is adding $3,056 to an existing Medvedev position.
- This bettor wins 87% of 68 resolved positions and is up $202,888 lifetime.
- The wallet is adding $3,056 to an existing $4,930 Medvedev position, signaling increased conviction.
- A serial trader active across 69 events is buying Medvedev at 62%, near the current market price.
$3,056 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 87%
96% winner adds to Medvedev
A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge is adding $7,100 to an existing Medvedev position.
- This bettor has won 129 of 134 resolved bets, with a $262,221 lifetime profit.
- They are adding $7,100 to an existing Medvedev position rather than making a routine one-off trade.
- The 62¢ entry implies the bettor sees Medvedev as materially undervalued despite the market already pricing him at 62%.
$7,100 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 76273644, $145,998 (50% win rate)
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 76273644, $100,000 (88% win rate)
- 0x979f...4032 — Outcome 76273644, $40,000 (94% win rate)
- 0x772f...8145 — Outcome 76273644, $26,272 (91% win rate)
- 0xef1b...8697 — Outcome 76273644, $19,537 (49% win rate)
- 0x41b4...10da — Outcome 76273644, $17,111 (58% win rate)
- 0xc288...8957 — Outcome 76273644, $16,327 (100% win rate)
- 0x0cdf...ec9e — Outcome 76273644, $11,452 (96% win rate)
- 0xf12f...b30f — Outcome 76273644, $8,933 (95% win rate)
- 0xc293...fac3 — Outcome 76273644, $8,028 (86% win rate)
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