US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe
11 signals across 2 markets · $558,634 tracked · resolves Sep 13, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the US Open ATP match between Daniil Medvedev and Frances Tiafoe. The market trades both possible match winners, with PolySpotter tracking $7,100 in smart money and a recent signal showing a 96% winner adding to Medvedev.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 57-wallet sharp-money coalition
A large linked-wallet coalition backed Frances Tiafoe, with several participants showing exceptional long-term win rates and the market moving sharply in their direction.
$451,106Score: 11.6 - Sharp bettor scaling into Medvedev
A highly profitable bettor with an 87% win rate and substantial edge is adding $3,056 to an existing Medvedev position.
$3,056Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 11.4 - Elite bettor in 40-wallet Medvedev cluster
A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate joined a 40-wallet linked cluster buying Medvedev, although the market has since repriced sharply against that position.
$2,489Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 11.3 - 96% winner in 40-wallet Medvedev cluster
A proven high-edge bettor joined a 40-wallet linked cluster buying Medvedev at 43%, despite the market subsequently collapsing to 0%.
$1,085Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 11.3 - Seven-wallet Medvedev conviction cluster
Seven wallets committed $82,085 to Medvedev during a 226.8x volume spike, including several highly profitable bettors with strong historical win rates.
$82,085Score: 8.7 - Elite bettor scaling into Medvedev
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a large Medvedev position amid a 110x volume spike.
$2,417Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.9 - 93% win-rate bettor buys Tiafoe
A highly profitable serial trader with a 93% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge is buying Tiafoe at 38 cents amid a major volume spike.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.8 - 93% win-rate bettor buys Tiafoe
A highly profitable serial trader with a 93% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge is buying Tiafoe at 38 cents amid a major volume spike.
$1,421Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.7 - Elite bettor scaling into Medvedev
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a large Medvedev position amid a 110x volume spike.
$3,549Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.7 - 96% winner adds to Medvedev
A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge is adding $7,100 to an existing Medvedev position.
$7,100Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x0cdff1…ec9e$7,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xd3faf1…a26c$5,966 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 85% wins
- 0x081e14…f76e$4,421 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0xd607fe…842a$3,056 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x3e04fb…564d$2,489 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$1,325 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x6b91e8…06c4$1,085 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
FAQs
What are the Medvedev vs Tiafoe odds on Polymarket?
Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied probability that Daniil Medvedev or Frances Tiafoe will advance. Check the live event page for current prices and changes in either outcome.
What is the Medvedev vs Tiafoe prediction market?
It is a two-outcome tennis prediction market covering the US Open ATP match: one contract resolves to Medvedev if he advances, and the other resolves to Tiafoe if he advances.
What is smart money betting on in this match?
PolySpotter has tracked $7,100 in smart money across the event and one signal so far. The latest alert reports that a 96% winner added to Medvedev.
When will the Medvedev vs Tiafoe market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by September 13, 2026. It resolves based on which player advances; special cancellation or unresolved-match rules may apply under the market terms.