Part of: Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,549.

Categories: Tweet Markets, Culture, Politics, Rewards Automations 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor buys Yes

A profitable sharp bettor with a 76% win rate and strong edge opened a fresh $2.4k position at 52¢ in a fast-moving Elon tweet-count market.

This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up $163k across 42 resolved markets
They usually buy long odds around 35¢, so paying 52¢ suggests real conviction here
The market is active and already up 18 points in a day, which supports the move rather than a random punt

$2,375 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 23%

95% win-rate serial bettor

A serial cross-market wallet with a 95% win rate bought the equivalent of Yes at 45¢ in an active market, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite modest size.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades with an 81-4 record across 85 markets
They trade heavily across related markets — 45 events and 74 markets with over $408k deployed
This sale of No at 55¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 45¢, near the current 46¢ ask

$1,283 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

95% win-rate serial trader

A serial cross-market trader with a 95% win rate bought No at 81¢ in a high-volume Elon tweet-count market, making this a track-record-driven signal worth watching despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved markets with 81 wins and 4 losses.
They trade across many related markets: 44 events, 73 markets, and about $406k in volume.
They bought No at 81¢, a high-confidence price that fits their habit of grinding out favorites.

$1,891 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11084954, $156,895
0xa638...1d87 — Outcome 11084954, $15,176 (54% win rate)
0x2ed5...72a6 — Outcome 11084954, $7,197
0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 11084954, $1,739 (71% win rate)
0xf7a3...eac8 — Outcome 11084954, $1,361
0x9057...c12c — Outcome 11084954, $1,300
0xb831...892b — Outcome 11084954, $1,029
0x952c...be27 — Outcome 11084954, $1,000
0x544a...dbe1 — Outcome 11084954, $500
0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 11084954, $500

Related Theses

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WTI stays rangebound in May

Covers 6 related markets

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?$5,549 tracked3 signalsTweet MarketsCulturePoliticsRewards Automations 200 4.5 50

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.