Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
This Polymarket market covers the Counter-Strike 2 PGL Astana Playoffs Semifinal 1 between MOUZ and Spirit, a best-of-three match initially scheduled for May 16 at 6:00AM ET. PolySpotter is tracking live prediction market odds plus $10,443 in smart money activity across 5 signals, with recent sharp alerts focused on Spirit. The market resolves to the winning team, or 50-50 if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between MOUZ and Spirit in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 16 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
25 smart money signals detected, totaling $140,927.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 72% resolved win rate is backing Spirit despite the market already being fairly liquid.
- This bettor has won 72% of 282 resolved trades and is up $23,874 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 58 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
- Buying Spirit at 81¢ means they are backing the favorite before a 10.9x pre-event volume spike.
$1,400 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 72%
80% win-rate esports sharp
Proven high-volume bettor with an 80% record and $422k profit bought the MOUZ underdog, supported by serial cross-market history and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $422k lifetime.
- They have traded 344 events and 377 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- They bought MOUZ at 30¢ as an underdog, while market activity spiked 40x before the match.
$1,532 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 80%
87% esports sharp on Spirit
Sharp esports bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Spirit before the price moved from 73% to 80%.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $66k lifetime.
- They have traded 36 related events with the same 87% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
- Spirit was bought at 73¢ and has already moved to 80¢, with market volume spiking 40x before the match.
$3,500 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable new esports whale
A 2-day-old repeat large bettor with early strong profits is taking a contrarian MOUZ position amid a major pre-event volume spike, despite the price moving against them.
- This new wallet is only 2 days old but is already up $17.2K on 2 resolved bets.
- They have triggered 11 large-bet alerts totaling $33.2K, suggesting repeated conviction rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought MOUZ at 30¢ while the market now sits near 20¢, making this a contrarian underdog position.
$1,800 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 100%
88% winner buying Spirit
Sharp esports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate bought Spirit at 73¢ before the market moved to 80¢ amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $17.5K lifetime.
- They bought Spirit at 73¢, and the market has already moved to 80¢.
- Volume is running about 40x above normal before the match.
$1,011 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Positive-P&L serial sports trader bought Spirit into a major pre-event volume spike, with price already moving from 78% to 80%.
- This bettor has won 70% of 43 resolved trades and is up about $9.6K lifetime.
- They have traded across 26 similar events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- Market volume spiked 40x before the match, and Spirit has already moved from their 78¢ entry to 80¢.
$2,600 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 70%
89% winner backed by cluster
Sharp 89% win-rate wallet with $1.6M profit is making a $44k Spirit bet, supported by linked-wallet activity and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $1.61M lifetime.
- They put $44k on Spirit at 71¢, a large conviction bet on a liquid match market.
- Three linked wallets share a funder, and market volume spiked 55x before the event.
$44,266 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 89%
99% winner backs Spirit
A highly proven bettor with a 99% historical win rate and strong cross-market track record bought $3,000 of Spirit at 71¢.
- This bettor has won 279 of 283 resolved positions and is up $172,812 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 34 events with a 99% win rate.
- A $3,000 buy at 71¢ signals confidence in Spirit despite an already liquid market.
$3,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 99%
93% winner buying underdog
Sharp esports bettor with a 93% record and strong cross-market history bought MOUZ at 30¢ despite Spirit being favored.
- This bettor has won 26 of 28 resolved bets and is up $48K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 40 events with a 93% hit rate.
- Buying MOUZ at 30¢ implies they see value in the underdog against a 70% favorite.
$1,471 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial trader flips
A profitable high-volume serial trader flipped into a $3k MOUZ underdog position after previously closing Spirit exposure.
- This bettor has a long track record: 973 resolved bets and $157K in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $1.76M bet across 342 markets.
- The trade flips from a closed Spirit position into MOUZ at 30¢, suggesting a changed view on the match.
$3,000 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 61%
Top Holders
- 0x5966...f804 — Spirit, $64,989 (89% win rate)
- 0xa9c4...7433 — MOUZ, $45,000 (79% win rate)
- 0x88d1...18da — Spirit, $38,985 (69% win rate)
- 0x8fbb...9a17 — MOUZ, $30,938 (74% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — Spirit, $30,000 (68% win rate)
- 0xc65c...ea39 — MOUZ, $30,000 (54% win rate)
- 0x03f8...d85a — Spirit, $25,394 (95% win rate)
- 0xa7df...5eee — MOUZ, $25,000 (48% win rate)
- 0x733b...7260 — Spirit, $21,429 (88% win rate)
- 0x7645...3117 — MOUZ, $20,079 (50% win rate)
