Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

This Polymarket market covers the Counter-Strike 2 PGL Astana Playoffs Semifinal 1 between MOUZ and Spirit, a best-of-three match initially scheduled for May 16 at 6:00AM ET. PolySpotter is tracking live prediction market odds plus $10,443 in smart money activity across 5 signals, with recent sharp alerts focused on Spirit. The market resolves to the winning team, or 50-50 if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between MOUZ and Spirit in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 16 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

25 smart money signals detected, totaling $140,927.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 72% resolved win rate is backing Spirit despite the market already being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 282 resolved trades and is up $23,874 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 58 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
  • Buying Spirit at 81¢ means they are backing the favorite before a 10.9x pre-event volume spike.

$1,400 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 72%

80% win-rate esports sharp

Proven high-volume bettor with an 80% record and $422k profit bought the MOUZ underdog, supported by serial cross-market history and a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $422k lifetime.
  • They have traded 344 events and 377 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
  • They bought MOUZ at 30¢ as an underdog, while market activity spiked 40x before the match.

$1,532 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 80%

87% esports sharp on Spirit

Sharp esports bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Spirit before the price moved from 73% to 80%.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $66k lifetime.
  • They have traded 36 related events with the same 87% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
  • Spirit was bought at 73¢ and has already moved to 80¢, with market volume spiking 40x before the match.

$3,500 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable new esports whale

A 2-day-old repeat large bettor with early strong profits is taking a contrarian MOUZ position amid a major pre-event volume spike, despite the price moving against them.

  • This new wallet is only 2 days old but is already up $17.2K on 2 resolved bets.
  • They have triggered 11 large-bet alerts totaling $33.2K, suggesting repeated conviction rather than a one-off punt.
  • They bought MOUZ at 30¢ while the market now sits near 20¢, making this a contrarian underdog position.

$1,800 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 100%

88% winner buying Spirit

Sharp esports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate bought Spirit at 73¢ before the market moved to 80¢ amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $17.5K lifetime.
  • They bought Spirit at 73¢, and the market has already moved to 80¢.
  • Volume is running about 40x above normal before the match.

$1,011 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Positive-P&L serial sports trader bought Spirit into a major pre-event volume spike, with price already moving from 78% to 80%.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 43 resolved trades and is up about $9.6K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 26 similar events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
  • Market volume spiked 40x before the match, and Spirit has already moved from their 78¢ entry to 80¢.

$2,600 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 70%

89% winner backed by cluster

Sharp 89% win-rate wallet with $1.6M profit is making a $44k Spirit bet, supported by linked-wallet activity and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $1.61M lifetime.
  • They put $44k on Spirit at 71¢, a large conviction bet on a liquid match market.
  • Three linked wallets share a funder, and market volume spiked 55x before the event.

$44,266 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 89%

99% winner backs Spirit

A highly proven bettor with a 99% historical win rate and strong cross-market track record bought $3,000 of Spirit at 71¢.

  • This bettor has won 279 of 283 resolved positions and is up $172,812 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 34 events with a 99% win rate.
  • A $3,000 buy at 71¢ signals confidence in Spirit despite an already liquid market.

$3,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 99%

93% winner buying underdog

Sharp esports bettor with a 93% record and strong cross-market history bought MOUZ at 30¢ despite Spirit being favored.

  • This bettor has won 26 of 28 resolved bets and is up $48K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 40 events with a 93% hit rate.
  • Buying MOUZ at 30¢ implies they see value in the underdog against a 70% favorite.

$1,471 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable serial trader flips

A profitable high-volume serial trader flipped into a $3k MOUZ underdog position after previously closing Spirit exposure.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 973 resolved bets and $157K in lifetime profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $1.76M bet across 342 markets.
  • The trade flips from a closed Spirit position into MOUZ at 30¢, suggesting a changed view on the match.

$3,000 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 61%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5966...f804 Spirit, $64,989 (89% win rate)
  2. 0xa9c4...7433 MOUZ, $45,000 (79% win rate)
  3. 0x88d1...18da Spirit, $38,985 (69% win rate)
  4. 0x8fbb...9a17 MOUZ, $30,938 (74% win rate)
  5. 0x1136...0c2e Spirit, $30,000 (68% win rate)
  6. 0xc65c...ea39 MOUZ, $30,000 (54% win rate)
  7. 0x03f8...d85a Spirit, $25,394 (95% win rate)
  8. 0xa7df...5eee MOUZ, $25,000 (48% win rate)
  9. 0x733b...7260 Spirit, $21,429 (88% win rate)
  10. 0x7645...3117 MOUZ, $20,079 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

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Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

5hCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$140,927 tracked25 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
MOUZ
13¢
Spirit
88¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between MOUZ and Spirit in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 16 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Spirit
89¢
62¢
35¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

14m ago

$1,400 on Spirit at 81¢

81¢88¢7¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

26m ago

$1,532 on MOUZ at 30¢

30¢13¢17¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

26m ago

$3,500 on Spirit at 73¢

73¢88¢15¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

26m ago

$1,800 on MOUZ at 30¢

30¢13¢17¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

20m ago

$1,011 on Spirit at 73¢

73¢88¢15¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

20m ago

$2,600 on Spirit at 78¢

78¢88¢10¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

33m ago

$44,266 on Spirit at 71¢

71¢88¢17¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

50m ago

$3,000 on Spirit at 71¢

71¢88¢17¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

1h ago

$1,471 on MOUZ at 30¢

30¢13¢17¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

1h ago

$3,000 on MOUZ at 30¢

30¢13¢17¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

1h ago

$2,000 on Spirit at 71¢

71¢88¢17¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

1h ago

$3,800 on Spirit at 71¢

71¢88¢17¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

2h ago

$1,176 on Spirit at 71¢

71¢88¢17¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3h ago

$20,459 on Spirit at 70¢

70¢88¢18¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

4h ago

$3,959 on Spirit at 70¢

70¢88¢18¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

4h ago

$3,333 on MOUZ at 31¢

31¢13¢18¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

5h ago

$5,400 on Spirit at 71¢

71¢88¢17¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

5h ago

$4,968 on Spirit at 70¢

70¢88¢18¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

7h ago

$5,098 on Spirit at 69¢

69¢88¢19¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

8h ago

$11,900 on Spirit at 68¢

68¢88¢20¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

10h ago

$1,154 on MOUZ at 33¢

33¢13¢20¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

10h ago

$1,760 on MOUZ at 33¢

33¢13¢20¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

11h ago

$5,594 on MOUZ at 33¢

33¢13¢20¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

12h ago

$1,078 on Spirit at 68¢

68¢88¢20¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

12h ago

$5,667 on Spirit at 67¢

67¢88¢21¢

Related Theses