What does this WTI crude oil prediction market measure?

This market measures whether the active-month WTI crude oil futures contract reaches a high of $120 or more on any 1-minute candle during April 2026.

How does the market resolve to Yes?

It resolves to Yes if the final High price on any 1-minute candle for active-month WTI futures is equal to or above $120 at any point in April 2026.

What is the active month for WTI futures in this market?

The active month is the nearest listed WTI futures contract month. It rolls to the next listed contract at 6:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days before the current contract's last trading day.

When does this Polymarket resolve?

The market resolves after April 2026 ends, with the listed resolution date of April 30, 2026, based on whether the $120 high was hit during the month.

Why are traders watching this oil market closely?

Traders follow this market because a move to $120 in WTI would likely reflect major changes in oil supply, geopolitical risk, demand expectations, or broader commodity momentum. Smart money alerts can also highlight when larger wallets are positioning around that scenario.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

This Polymarket asks whether active-month WTI crude oil futures will print a 1-minute candle high of at least $120 at any time during April 2026. It resolves to Yes if that threshold is reached even briefly during the month, and otherwise resolves to No at the end of April 2026. PolySpotter tracks smart money activity on this oil prediction market, including recent whale and dip-buying signals.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

21 smart money signals detected, totaling $74,787.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

Profitable oil thesis trader

A profitable wallet with an 80-bet history is building a broad cross-market oil thesis, buying No at 90¢ on a sharply falling $120 WTI target market.

This bettor has won 71% of 80 resolved trades and is up $121.6k lifetime
They have put $97.2k across 5 related oil markets, showing a coordinated event-wide view rather than a one-off bet
This trade bought No at 90¢ while Yes has fallen 18.5 points over the past week, matching the market's recent move

$11,077 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

91% win-rate oil bettor

A high-volume, highly profitable wallet with a 91% win rate is taking a cross-market view in the same WTI event by buying No at 77¢ after a sharp drop, making this worth tracking despite only a moderate composite score.

This bettor wins 91% of their trades across 1,000 resolved markets and is up about $399k.
They are betting across 3 related WTI markets, which suggests a deliberate event-wide view rather than a one-off trade.
They bought No at 77¢ after this market fell 51% in a week, signaling they still see $120 as unlikely in April.

$2,989 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

77% cross-market oil bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 77% win rate is expressing a directional thesis across this oil event by effectively buying Yes around 39¢.

This wallet wins 77% of 1,047 resolved bets and has traded 251 markets across 130 events
They sold No at 61¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 39¢ near the current 38¢ ask
The trade fits a repeat cross-market pattern in this event, suggesting a deliberate oil price thesis rather than a one-off bet

$1,114 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

88% win-rate oil bettor

A proven high-win-rate trader with strong profits is building a cross-market oil thesis by buying this April WTI $120 YES line at 25¢.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $387k lifetime.
They are betting across 3 related oil markets with nearly $8.8k total, which points to a broader thesis rather than a one-off punt.
Buying Yes at 25¢ means they think this $120 spike is priced too low despite the market already trading over $200k in 24h volume.

$1,455 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

88% win-rate oil bettor

A high-win-rate trader with a large resolved sample is taking a fresh directional view across related WTI markets, buying the equivalent of Yes at 24¢ after a sharp weekly selloff.

This bettor wins 88% of their resolved trades across 165 bets and is up about $382k.
They sold No at 76¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 24¢ on a related WTI thesis.
The market is down 53.5 points over the last week, so this entry looks like a cheap rebound-style position.

$1,900 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Repeat new oil-event whale

A repeat new wallet with $61k+ in recent flagged bets is making another event-wide oil bet, selling Yes at 12¢ which converts to a bullish No view at 88¢ on a heavily repriced market.

This 10-day-old wallet has already triggered 12 large-bet alerts and put over $61k to work
They are betting across 3 related oil markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade
This trade effectively buys No at 88¢ after the market already fell 63 points in a week

$2,990 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

88% win-rate oil bettor

A high-win-rate wallet is taking a fresh directional view across related WTI strike markets, and this sell of No converts to a Yes buy at 18¢ near current pricing.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $382k lifetime
They are positioning across 2 related WTI markets, which suggests a broader oil thesis rather than a one-off punt
Selling No at 82¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 18¢, close to the current 16-17¢ market

$2,050 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

88% win-rate oil bettor

A proven sharp wallet with an 88% win rate is expressing the same cross-market oil thesis again by effectively buying Yes at 20¢ after a major recent selloff.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $382k across 165 bets
They sold No at 80¢, which is the same as buying Yes at 20¢ after the market already dropped 58 points in a week
The trade is modest for this market's liquidity, but it fits the same 2-market crude oil thesis this wallet has been building

$3,212 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

New whale buying oil upside

A 4-day-old wallet has already made multiple large bets across this WTI event and just effectively bought Yes at 24¢, a meaningful high-conviction punt despite no proven track record yet.

This 4-day-old wallet has already made 3 large bets totaling $8.5k, showing fast, concentrated conviction.
This trade effectively buys Yes at 24¢ after the market fell hard over the past week, so the bettor is fading a big selloff.
The bet is sizable but not routine for this market, with a $3.1k trade against about $61.6k of liquidity.

$3,093 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 33%

New whale pressing oil NO

A 6-day-old wallet has already put over $23k into related oil markets and is now adding another bearish WTI threshold bet, a notable repeat-conviction pattern despite limited track record.

This 6-day-old wallet has already triggered 11 large-bet alerts and put about $23k to work
They are betting across 3 related oil markets, suggesting a broader bearish crude thesis
This trade effectively buys No around 77¢, adding conviction after WTI threshold odds already fell sharply this week

$1,378 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%