Part of: Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Ekrem İmamoğlu will be released from custody by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves Yes if he leaves state custody, including release to house arrest, parole, bond, or other conditional release; a transfer to another custody location does not count. PolySpotter is tracking $1,980 in smart money activity, with the latest signal showing a 99% winner backing No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,980.
Categories: Turkey, istanbul, Politics
Notable Trades
99% winner backs NO
Despite only a weak low-activity signal, this is worth surfacing because a highly profitable 99% lifetime winner bought NO in a thin political market.
- This bettor has won 100 of 101 resolved trades and is up $36.6k lifetime.
- They bought NO at 90¢ in a quiet market, making up 58% of the past day’s volume.
- The bet aligns with the market move, with NO now around 92¢ after their entry.
$1,980 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0x3eae...e2ed — No, $2,200 (98% win rate)
- 0x6f67...102c — Yes, $1,000
- 0x2f48...6f45 — Yes, $300
- 0xc602...7fc1 — Yes, $195 (43% win rate)
- 0x5226...b4f5 — Yes, $105
- 0xa815...9cbe — Yes, $101
- 0x21ff...0d71 — Yes, $97
- 0xa3e2...fdf8 — Yes, $86
- 0x6b0e...e3ea — Yes, $56
- 0x0a1c...efaf — Yes, $51
Related Theses
No NATO-Russia clash by year-end
Covers 2 related markets
Blockade will persist past August
Covers 1 related market
Merz remains Chancellor through 2027
Covers 1 related market
Takaichi remains Japan’s PM in 2026
Covers 1 related market
Neither will attend Ronaldo’s wedding
Covers 2 related markets
Crowley will beat Hong
Covers 2 related markets
Israel keeps its airspace open
Covers 2 related markets
