Part of: Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $51,637.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
96% win-rate sports sharp
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 96% win rate bought Marco Trungelliti at 64¢ before a huge move to 96%, making this a strong signal worth surfacing despite the small size.
- This bettor wins 96% of 1,900 resolved trades and is up $111k lifetime
- They bought Marco Trungelliti at 64¢, and the market is now 96¢ after a 23-point jump
- This wallet has made profitable bets across 102 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
$989 on Marco Trungelliti | Wallet win rate: 95%
87% win-rate sports bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate bought into a fast-moving tennis market before a major repricing from 87% to 96%.
- This bettor wins 87% of their trades across 176 resolved markets and is up about $10.9k.
- They bought Marco at 87¢ before the price jumped to 96¢, catching a 23-point move early.
- Market volume surged nearly 89x normal, suggesting strong conviction behind the move.
$1,620 on Marco Trungelliti | Wallet win rate: 87%
83% win-rate sports bettor
A proven 83% win-rate serial cross-market bettor bought Marco Trungelliti before a sharp 23-point move in a match market seeing an 88.7x volume spike.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and has made 109 tracked bets across 87 events
- They bought Marco Trungelliti at 86¢ before the price jumped to 96¢, a fast 23-point move
- The market saw an 88.7x volume spike, suggesting multiple traders rushed in on the same side
$2,990 on Marco Trungelliti | Wallet win rate: 85%
73% winner buying dip
A proven high-volume sports trader with a 73% win rate and $6.4M profit bought Marco just before a sharp selloff during a pre-match volume surge, making this a credible sharp entry worth watching.
- This bettor has won 2,521 of 3,473 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
- They bought Marco at 49¢ during a 26x volume spike, suggesting active positioning ahead of the match
- The market is liquid, so a $3.4k buy from a proven winner matters more as signal quality than as raw size
$3,398 on Marco Trungelliti | Wallet win rate: 73%
Sharp cluster chasing mispricing
Six wallets piled into Daniel Merida Aguilar for $25.6k during a 91.7x volume spike, including one elite high-volume winner and another 94% win-rate bettor buying before the price jumped from roughly 50¢ to 78¢.
- Six wallets bought the same side for $25.6k, and most got in around 48-50¢ before the market moved to 78¢.
- One wallet has won 73% of 3,473 resolved bets and made $6.4M, while another wins 94% of 172 bets and is up $412k.
- Market volume exploded 91.7x and Daniel's price jumped 11.5 points in under 3 minutes, showing fast conviction behind the move.
$25,614 on Daniel Merida Aguilar
Profitable new wallet cluster
A fast-ramping 11-day-old wallet with early profits joined two other wallets buying the same side during a major pre-match volume surge, suggesting coordinated conviction worth watching.
- This 11-day-old wallet has already made 10 flagged large bets and is up $2.7k early
- Three wallets bought the same side for nearly $18k total during a 90x volume spike
- The bettor entered at 52¢, close to current 50¢ pricing, leaving a similar entry still available
$5,372 on Marco Trungelliti | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp serial sports bettor
A high-volume serial sports trader with a 73% win rate and $6.4M profit bought Marco during a major pre-match volume spike, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the market being fairly liquid.
- This bettor wins 73% of 3,472 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
- They trade heavily across events — 924 events and $8.5M total suggest a repeatable edge
- The buy came during a 333x volume spike, and their 46¢ entry is better than the current 41-42¢ market only if following quickly
$2,746 on Marco Trungelliti | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable new sports wallet
A 12-day-old wallet that has already made 13 notable bets, is profitable early, and is taking another meaningful position on a liquid tennis market suggests a new bettor worth tracking.
- This 12-day-old wallet has already triggered 13 large-bet alerts and is up $1.1k early
- They have won 6 of 9 resolved bets so far, suggesting this is more than a one-off punt
- Bought Marco Trungelliti at 42¢, a price that pays about 2.4x if their read is right
$1,482 on Marco Trungelliti | Wallet win rate: 81%
3 sharp wallets aligned
Three profitable, high-volume sports bettors all bought Marco Trungelliti around 41-42¢, creating coordinated one-sided flow from wallets with strong long-term records.
- Three proven bettors all bought Marco Trungelliti within minutes of each other for $4.7k total
- The strongest wallet wins 84% of resolved bets and is up about $873k, while another is up about $1.4M lifetime
- They entered at 41-42¢ in a fairly liquid market, suggesting they see Trungelliti as meaningfully underpriced
$5,853 on Marco Trungelliti
Sharp sports bettor buying underdog
A highly profitable sports trader with 1,144 resolved bets and $1.41M P&L is buying a modest underdog at 41¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite only one detection trigger.
- This bettor wins 70% of 1,144 resolved trades and is up $1.41M lifetime
- They bought Marco Trungelliti at 41¢, a price that pays roughly 2.4x if he wins
- The wallet has traded across 39 events for $263k total, which looks like a seasoned cross-market sports bettor
$1,572 on Marco Trungelliti | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0x3905...82fc — Outcome 67610887, $19,675 (79% win rate)
- 0xc974...b33b — Outcome 67610887, $7,226 (86% win rate)
- 0x1bc8...2f68 — Outcome 67610887, $7,180 (93% win rate)
- 0x9f13...e0fd — Outcome 67610887, $4,323 (70% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 67610887, $3,618 (80% win rate)
- 0xc0fd...a0a9 — Outcome 67610887, $2,450 (71% win rate)
- 0x51eb...6bfa — Outcome 67610887, $1,546 (95% win rate)
- 0x69b9...a5d5 — Outcome 67610887, $1,462
- 0xb416...4588 — Outcome 67610887, $1,326 (88% win rate)
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 67610887, $1,259
