Part of: Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $115,729.

Categories: MLB, Sports, Games, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader fading move

Profitable serial cross-market bettor is fading a sharp Reds price move by effectively buying Cleveland at 23¢.

  • This bettor has traded 53 events and is up $27K lifetime across 91 resolved bets.
  • They are fading a 39-point move toward Cincinnati by effectively taking Cleveland at 23¢.
  • Entry at 23¢ implies a contrarian underdog position after a major odds swing.

$1,131 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 63%

Three-wallet Reds momentum

Three wallets bought the Reds during a sharp 38-point odds move, but the wallets have mixed track records and the best entry appears to have already passed.

  • Three wallets all backed the same side as the Reds moved from about 38¢ to 76¢.
  • The strongest signal is market momentum: Reds odds are up 37 points in one day on heavy volume.
  • Wallet track records are mixed, so this is more of a momentum trade than a proven sharp-bettor copy.

$4,139 on Cincinnati Reds

Coordinated Reds steam move

Coordinated one-sided Reds buying across 4 wallets drove an 18.9x volume spike and rapid 14-point price move in a liquid MLB market.

  • Four wallets bought $16.3K of Cincinnati, all in the same direction.
  • The burst caused an 18.9x volume spike and pushed Reds odds up 14 points in about 3 minutes.
  • The largest buyer has strong profit history, up $195K on $955K invested.

$16,311 on Cincinnati Reds

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a massive track record bought Cleveland at 58¢ before the market moved to 62¢.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 6,050 resolved bets and is up $9.3M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with nearly $14.7M in tracked activity across 1,659 events.
  • They bought Cleveland at 58¢ and the market has already moved to 62¢.

$1,106 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 71%

92% winner backs Reds

Sharp MLB bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and $249k profit bought $14k of Reds amid a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $249k lifetime.
  • They have repeated this across 39 sports events with $697k total traded.
  • A $14k Reds buy came during a 518x pre-game volume spike.

$13,991 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 93%

92% winner backs Reds

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate put $64.8k on the Reds, backed by a strong serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $250k lifetime.
  • They placed a large $64.8k bet on Cincinnati at 42¢ in a liquid MLB market.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 38 events with the same 92% hit rate.

$64,787 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 93%

99% win-rate sports sharp

Surfacing because a highly profitable sports bettor with a 123-1 resolved record bought Cincinnati at 42¢.

  • This bettor has won 123 of 124 resolved positions and is up about $112k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 77 events with a 99% hit rate.
  • Entry at 42¢ implies they see Cincinnati as meaningfully underpriced versus the market.

$1,137 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 99%

Proven serial sports bettor

Surfaced because this is a proven serial cross-market sports bettor with a 79% win rate and positive lifetime P&L buying Cleveland at 60¢.

  • This bettor has won 79% of 259 resolved bets and is up $110,761 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 50 events with over $1.67M in tracked cross-market volume.
  • Buying Cleveland at 60¢ suggests a clean directional view despite a fairly liquid market.

$1,225 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 80%

Elite 87% sports bettor

Elite sports bettor with an 87% long-run win rate and $2.3M profit is buying Cincinnati at 40¢.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
  • They have traded 637 events with nearly $5.9M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 40¢ implies they see Cincinnati as underpriced versus the market’s 40/60 split.

$4,193 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial bettor

Profitable high-volume bettor with a 70% record across 639 resolved markets is buying Cincinnati at 40¢ despite only a moderate signal score.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 639 resolved bets and is up $88.8K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 36 events with $178.8K in tracked cross-market volume.
  • Entry at 40¢ implies a 2.5x payout if Cincinnati wins.

$2,658 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4be1...aa70 Outcome 78172587, $351,524 (93% win rate)
  2. 0x16bb...8492 Outcome 78172587, $12,952 (91% win rate)
  3. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 78172587, $10,483 (88% win rate)
  4. 0x52e3...3337 Outcome 78172587, $8,929 (69% win rate)
  5. 0xed88...e838 Outcome 78172587, $5,800 (91% win rate)
  6. 0xa422...d210 Outcome 78172587, $5,107
  7. 0x6715...5085 Outcome 78172587, $3,922 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x5482...b6ee Outcome 78172587, $3,733
  9. 0xd3b5...a2a7 Outcome 78172587, $2,857 (63% win rate)
  10. 0x09af...9728 Outcome 78172587, $2,706 (99% win rate)

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

ResolvedCincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians$115,729 tracked11 signalsMLBSportsGamesbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for May 16 at 6:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

CIN
4
24-22
Final
CLE
7
25-22
CIN +125CLE -151O/U 8.5
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Attendance
33,331
Price History — “Cleveland Guardians
70¢
58¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

10d ago

$1,131 on Cleveland Guardians at 23¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

10d ago

$4,139 on Cincinnati Reds at 76¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

10d ago

$16,311 on Cincinnati Reds at 37¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

10d ago

$1,106 on Cleveland Guardians at 58¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

10d ago

$13,991 on Cincinnati Reds at 42¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

10d ago

$64,787 on Cincinnati Reds at 42¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

10d ago

$1,137 on Cincinnati Reds at 42¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

10d ago

$1,225 on Cleveland Guardians at 60¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

10d ago

$4,193 on Cincinnati Reds at 40¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

10d ago

$2,658 on Cincinnati Reds at 40¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

10d ago

$5,051 on Cincinnati Reds at 39¢

Related Theses