11 wallets are all betting against Türkiye winning, totaling $33.5K on the No side. This new repeat bettor is already up $3.4K and has gone 4-for-4 on resolved trades. This trade sells a Yes position bought around 27¢, so the broader No cluster is the stronger signal.

Part of: Türkiye vs. United States

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

28 smart money signals detected, totaling $307,667.

Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Sports

Notable Trades

81% winner joins Yes cluster

Sharp 81% lifetime winner bought Yes and is part of a larger 5-wallet one-sided flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $255k lifetime.
Five wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $182k in one-sided flow.
The entry was 52¢, but the market has since fallen to 22¢, making timing important.

$2,148 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable serial event trader

A large profitable serial cross-market trader bought Türkiye Yes, alongside one-sided coordinated flow and a major pre-event volume spike, though the price has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor has a huge track record: 69% wins across 49,408 resolved bets and $483,723 profit.
Five wallets bought the same side, totaling $182,570 in Türkiye Yes exposure.
The trader entered at 54¢, but the market is now around 22¢, so the position is currently deeply underwater.

$15,802 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

Elite bettor joins Yes cluster

Elite 86% win-rate wallet with $7.7M lifetime profit bought Türkiye Yes, alongside heavy one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $7.7M lifetime.
Five wallets bought the same Yes side for $182.6K total, suggesting coordinated conviction.
Their entry was 51¢, while the market is now 22¢, offering a much cheaper price than the sharp wallet paid.

$3,031 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Sharp bettor joins No cluster

Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 85% resolved win rate is effectively buying No, alongside 11-wallet same-direction flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $45.7K lifetime.
11 wallets are all betting No, with $33.5K on the same side.
Market volume is surging 62x before the match, suggesting active positioning around this outcome.

$3,549 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

11-wallet No cluster

High composite alert driven by 11-wallet one-sided No flow and a profitable new repeat bettor, though this specific trade also looks like profit-taking from an earlier Yes position.

11 wallets are all betting against Türkiye winning, totaling $33.5K on the No side.
This new repeat bettor is already up $3.4K and has gone 4-for-4 on resolved trades.
This trade sells a Yes position bought around 27¢, so the broader No cluster is the stronger signal.

$1,034 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

92% winner buying underdog

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 92% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Türkiye Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 12 of 13 resolved positions and is up about $10.5K lifetime.
They bought Türkiye at 25¢, implying a potential 4x payout if the underdog wins.
Market volume is surging 60x above its normal pace before the match.

$2,385 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Sharp bettor in No cluster

High-conviction No flow is worth surfacing because a profitable 86% bettor joined a $99.8k one-sided cluster, though opposing Yes flow is larger and the market has moved against them.

A bettor who has won 86% of resolved bets and is up $902k bought into No around 48–49¢.
16 wallets put nearly $100k on the same No side during a major volume spike.
There is conflicting pressure: a larger linked cluster is buying Yes, so this is a notable but contested sports signal.

$99,763 on No

19-wallet linked Yes push

Strong coordinated Yes flow: 19 wallets, including linked funders, are buying the same side amid a major volume spike and sharp upward price move.

19 wallets are all betting Türkiye Yes, totaling $188k on the same side.
Volume is running 91x above normal, and Yes is up 27 points in the last day.
This trade is a No sell, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 54¢.

$5,227 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

19-wallet Türkiye surge

Strong coordinated Yes flow: 19 wallets bought $188k, including a profitable new wallet adding another Türkiye Yes entry amid a major volume and price surge.

19 wallets bought the same side, totaling $188k on Türkiye Yes.
This new wallet is already up $10.3k and has been flagged 7 times for large bets.
Market volume spiked 91x and Türkiye Yes is up 27 points in the last day.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Sharp cluster buying No

Strong No-side cluster with multiple proven profitable bettors, a major pre-event volume spike, and a sharp price move from roughly coin-flip to 82%.

Two strong bettors are in this flow: one wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $94.8K, another wins 85% and is up $45.7K.
Eight wallets put $34.2K on No, with several entries at 47–53¢ before the price jumped to 82¢.
The market saw a 79.9x volume spike and a 30-point move toward No, suggesting broad momentum behind the same side.

$34,235 on No

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 60859125, $899,763
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 60859125, $168,523
0x20b9...4aff — Outcome 60859125, $99,999
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 60859125, $62,328 (63% win rate)
0x4337...8882 — Outcome 60859125, $58,226 (75% win rate)
0xbc1b...9d59 — Outcome 60859125, $41,521 (100% win rate)
0x6d20...a165 — Outcome 60859125, $25,869 (85% win rate)
0x225b...9a83 — Outcome 60859125, $22,804 (53% win rate)
0xbb0b...3790 — Outcome 60859125, $21,760 (76% win rate)
0xfd97...0ec5 — Outcome 60859125, $20,202 (63% win rate)

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Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

ResolvedTürkiye vs. United States$307,667 tracked28 signalsGamesFIFA World CupSoccerSports

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 25, 2026 If Türkiye wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Yes”